polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22066 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31318 Sports 21017 Crypto 5905 Economics 5745 Financials 3983 Commodities 3403 Politics 2615 Climate and Weather 1762 Entertainment 481 Mentions 271 Science and Technology 201

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent — At least 44% Elections 89% kals 1 $1.0k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% Economics — kals 1 $1.0k
Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Fed maintains rate Economics — kals 1 $1.0k
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 5.60M Elections 32% kals 1 $1.0k
NM-03 House winner? — Teresa Leger Fernández Elections 96% kals 1 $1.0k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 7.0% kals 1 $1.0k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana? — 1 Elections 93% kals 1 $1.0k
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo — Cinde Warmington and Chris Pappas win Elections 4.5% kals 1 $1.0k
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Republican sweep Elections 9.2% kals 1 $1.0k
TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent — At least 60% Elections — kals 1 $1.0k
Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win? — Pinellas Elections 36% kals 1 $998
OH-08 House winner? — Warren Davidson Elections 92% kals 1 $998
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mette Frederiksen Politics 6.4% kals 1 $997
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent — At least 50% Elections 28% kals 1 $997
How many bills will Trump veto in 2026? — At least 4 Politics 10% kals 1 $997
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 94% kals 1 $997
Georgia Attorney General winner? — Brian Strickland Elections 48% kals 1 $996
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? — any 3rd Amendment c Politics 8.5% kals 1 $996
FL-16 House winner? — Kelly Kirschner Elections 16% kals 1 $995
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -1.5% of GDP Economics 27% kals 1 $995
Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank? — Pablo Hernández de Cos Politics 38% kals 1 $995
MI-06 House winner? — Debbie Dingell Elections 98% kals 1 $994
SC-02 House winner? — Zyon Khalifa Elections 12% kals 1 $992
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? — Before Jan 1, 2031 Politics 78% kals 1 $991
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.500 Economics — kals 1 $987
FL-26 House winner? — Nicole Locklin Elections 11% kals 1 $987
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — Above 226 Elections 88% kals 1 $987
FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent — At least 56% Elections 72% kals 1 $986
AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent — At least 50% Elections 20% kals 1 $986
Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? — Saginaw Elections 51% kals 1 $985
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 3.0% kals 1 $985
Pennsylvania 14 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 280K Elections 68% kals 1 $984
RI-02 House winner? — Seth Magaziner Elections 93% kals 1 $984
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026? — Mandatory body-worn cameras Politics 3.0% kals 1 $983
New Mexico Senate winner? — Larry E. Marker Elections 2.3% kals 1 $983
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Michelle Obama Elections 7.8% kals 1 $981
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Greg Abbott Elections 16% kals 1 $980
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 26% kals 4 $979
TX-17 House winner? — Casey Shepard Elections 4.7% kals 1 $979
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) — Rahm Eman Elections 24% kals 1 $977
NJ-04 House winner? — Chris Smith Elections 97% kals 1 $977
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before 4AM Nov 4 Elections 50% kals 1 $975
Poland general election winner? — Law and Justice Elections 48% kals 1 $975
Which ballot measures will pass in Missouri? — Amendment 7 Elections 24% kals 1 $973
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 12+ pts Elections 14% kals 1 $972
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? — Ding Xuexiang Elections 24% kals 1 $970
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 1.8% kals poly 2 $969
Who will Trump pardon? — Pete Rose Politics 26% kals 1 $969
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Mike Lee Politics 2.4% kals 1 $968
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — Mike Johnson Elections 29% kals 1 $968

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