polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31353 Sports 18331 Crypto 5658 Economics 5483 Commodities 3271 Financials 3258 Politics 2621 Climate and Weather 1653 Entertainment 465 Science and Technology 236 Mentions 212

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
New Jersey Senate winner? — Justin Murphy Elections 3.6% kals 1 $3.3k
Schleswig-Holstein state election winner? — CDU Elections 64% kals 1 $3.3k
TX-37 House election: Lauren Peña vote percent — At least 12% Elections 86% kals 1 $3.3k
Guatemalan Congressional election winner? — National Unity of Hope Elections 45% kals 1 $3.3k
CA-12 House winner? — Lateefah Simon Elections 96% kals 1 $3.3k
Who will Trump pardon? — Larry Householder Politics 29% kals 2 $3.3k
Pennsylvania State House winner? — Democratic party Elections 90% kals 1 $3.3k
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amazonas Elections 41% kals 1 $3.3k
How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina? — 2 Elections 27% kals 1 $3.3k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 218 Politics 92% kals 1 $3.3k
MT-02 House winner? — Troy Downing Elections 97% kals 1 $3.3k
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026? — Wind turbines Politics 24% kals 1 $3.3k
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? — Yes Economics 4.0% kals 1 $3.3k
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? Elections 65% kals poly 2 $3.3k
Coquitlam mayoral election winner? — Craig Hodge Elections 92% kals 1 $3.3k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Spencer Pratt Elections — kals 1 $3.3k
New Zealand general election winner? — Labour Elections 57% kals 1 $3.3k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Keith Ellison Politics 18% kals 1 $3.3k
NC-02 House election: Gene Douglass vote percent — At least 24% Elections 91% kals 1 $3.3k
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Donald Trump Elections 1.4% kals 1 $3.3k
2028 Republican VP nominee — Glenn Youngkin Elections 1.8% kals 1 $3.3k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 57 Elections 2.1% kals 1 $3.3k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.20 Economics 96% kals 1 $3.3k
Wisconsin State Treasurer winner? — Yee Leng Xiong Elections 80% kals 1 $3.3k
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 4.7% kals poly 2 $3.3k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -8.0% of GDP Economics 37% kals 1 $3.3k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan? — 9 Elections 35% kals 1 $3.3k
AZ-08 House winner? — Abe Hamadeh Elections 88% kals 1 $3.3k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.9% Economics 39% kals 1 $3.3k
Florida Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 82% kals 1 $3.2k
Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? — Yes Elections 2.5% kals 1 $3.2k
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 18% kals 1 $3.2k
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 2.50% Economics 45% kals 1 $3.2k
Minnesota Governor margin of victory — Klobuchar, 11+ pts Elections 60% kals 1 $3.2k
California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? — Fresno Elections 70% kals 1 $3.2k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 11 Politics — kals 1 $3.2k
NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percent — At least 74% Elections 71% kals 1 $3.2k
MN-07 House election: Erik Osberg vote percent — At least 32% Elections 82% kals 1 $3.2k
MI-05 House winner? — Tim Walberg Elections 95% kals 1 $3.2k
IN-04 House winner? — Jim Baird Elections 95% kals 1 $3.2k
PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent — At least 36% Elections 66% kals 1 $3.2k
MI-03 House election: Hillary Scholten vote percent — At least 54% Elections 83% kals 1 $3.2k
California Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 12.6M Elections 42% kals 1 $3.2k
ND-AL House winner? — Julie Fedorchak Elections 98% kals 1 $3.2k
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 5+ pts Elections 44% kals 1 $3.2k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Alabama Elections 2.5% kals 1 $3.2k
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? Elections 81% kals poly 2 $3.2k
AR-02 House winner? — Chris Jones Elections 16% kals 1 $3.2k
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Aileen Cannon Politics 7.0% kals 1 $3.2k
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Vivek Ramaswamy Elections 24% kals 1 $3.2k

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