polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31353 Sports 18422 Crypto 5708 Economics 5483 Commodities 3272 Financials 3264 Politics 2618 Climate and Weather 1647 Entertainment 461 Science and Technology 237 Mentions 212

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Czech National Bank rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $3.2k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — LeBron James Elections — kals 1 $3.2k
NC-05 House winner? — Virginia Foxx Elections 88% kals 1 $3.2k
NM-02 House winner? — Greg Cunningham Elections 8.7% kals 1 $3.2k
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win? — Denton Elections 52% kals 1 $3.2k
NJ-02 House winner? — Zack Mullock Elections 18% kals 1 $3.1k
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes) — Yes, ≥1% Elections 26% kals 1 $3.1k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 16% and above Politics 1.7% kals 1 $3.1k
TX-37 House election: Lauren Peña vote percent — At least 14% Elections 75% kals 1 $3.1k
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? — Li Qiang Elections 20% kals 1 $3.1k
Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? Economics 78% kals 1 $3.1k
UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent — At least 1% Elections 91% kals 1 $3.1k
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader? — Chuck Schumer Elections 90% kals 1 $3.1k
Will Bridget Phillipson be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 2.6% kals poly 2 $3.1k
New Taipei mayoral election winner? — Lee Shu-chuan Elections 46% kals 1 $3.1k
ME-01 House winner? — Chellie Pingree Elections 97% kals 1 $3.1k
2028 Republican VP nominee — Donald J. Trump Elections 2.0% kals 1 $3.1k
IL-17 House winner? — Eric Sorensen Elections 95% kals 1 $3.1k
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? — Maintains rate Economics 54% kals 1 $3.1k
CO-01 House election: Chad Humphrey vote percent — At least 1% Elections 65% kals 1 $3.1k
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Florida Elections 32% kals 1 $3.1k
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? Elections 16% kals poly 2 $3.1k
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026? — Above 27,500 Elections 81% kals 1 $3.1k
CA-05 House winner? — Tom McClintock Elections 93% kals 1 $3.1k
Spanish general election: voter turnout — At least 25,500,000 Elections 65% kals 1 $3.1k
Serbian parliamentary election winner? — SNS-led list Elections 64% kals 1 $3.1k
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Elections 4.7% kals poly 2 $3.1k
Colorado Governor winner? — Victor Marx Elections 3.5% kals 1 $3.1k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing Politics 22% kals 1 $3.0k
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? Politics 8.2% kals 1 $3.0k
2028 Republican VP nominee — Donald J. Trump Jr. Elections 3.7% kals 1 $3.0k
Who will Trump pardon? — Tim Leissner Politics 31% kals 2 $3.0k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Elon Musk Elections — kals 1 $3.0k
NY-25 House election: Virginia McIntyre vote percent — At least 34% Elections 44% kals 1 $3.0k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -9.0% of GDP Economics 82% kals 1 $3.0k
CPI in November — Above 0.3% Economics 26% kals 1 $3.0k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 194 Elections 68% kals 1 $3.0k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Dwayne Johnson Elections 0.1% kals 1 $3.0k
Maine Governor winner? — Robert Charles Elections 5.3% kals 1 $3.0k
Minnesota Governor election: Lisa Demuth vote percent — At least 50% Elections 92% kals 1 $3.0k
2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? — 115 to 119.99 million Elections 30% kals 1 $3.0k
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.8% Economics 4.0% kals 1 $3.0k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 14% kals 1 $3.0k
AR-04 House winner? — Bruce Westerman Elections 98% kals 1 $3.0k
Montana governor winner? (2028) — Republican Elections 86% kals 1 $3.0k
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 1 Politics 18% kals 1 $3.0k
OH-10 House winner? — Kristina Knickerbocker Elections 16% kals 1 $3.0k
Arkansas Governor winner? — Sarah Huckabee Sanders Elections 96% kals 1 $3.0k
PA-10 House winner? — Scott Perry Elections 20% kals 1 $3.0k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Lisa Cook Politics 5.8% kals 1 $3.0k

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