polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31351 Sports 19328 Economics 6390 Crypto 5741 Financials 3420 Commodities 3326 Politics 2610 Climate and Weather 1658 Entertainment 457 Science and Technology 227 Mentions 211

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent — At least 52% Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent — At least 56% Elections 8.0% kals 1 $1.6k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — SHOWER Act Politics 3.5% kals 1 $1.6k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot? — R+0.9 to D+0.9 Elections 26% kals 1 $1.6k
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents — Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 Economics 16% kals 1 $1.6k
TX-05 House winner? — Lance Gooden Elections 97% kals 1 $1.6k
CT-04 House winner? — Jim Himes Elections 98% kals 1 $1.6k
Brazil Federal District Governor winner? — Celina Leão Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent — At least 50% Elections 88% kals 1 $1.6k
Arizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win? — Navajo Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner? — People's Force Elections 19% kals 1 $1.6k
RI-02 House election: Seth Magaziner vote percent — At least 52% Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Ohio Governor-Senate combo — Amy Acton and Jon Husted win Elections 10% kals 1 $1.6k
CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Lima Mayor winner? — Francis Allison Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Who will Trump pardon? — Bob Menendez Politics 25% kals poly 2 $1.6k
CA-28 House winner? — Judy Chu Elections 98% kals 1 $1.6k
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Oct 1, 2027 Politics 27% kals 1 $1.6k
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? — Anthony Albanese Elections 40% kals poly 2 $1.6k
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Adam Telle Politics 44% kals 1 $1.6k
TN-03 House election: Chuck Fleischmann vote percent — At least 58% Elections 95% kals 1 $1.6k
SC-03 House winner? — Sheri Biggs Elections 98% kals 1 $1.6k
Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 56% kals 1 $1.6k
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader? — Jim Jordan Elections 58% kals 1 $1.6k
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place — AfD Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 190 Politics — kals 1 $1.6k
PA-17 House election: Chris Deluzio vote percent — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $1.6k
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Reservists–Economic Party Elections 44% kals 1 $1.5k
US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 0.0% Economics 89% kals 1 $1.5k
Maryland Attorney General winner? — Anthony G. Brown Elections 98% kals 1 $1.5k
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Colombia Elections 72% kals 1 $1.5k
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? — No other person Politics 58% kals 1 $1.5k
ME-01 House election: Chellie Pingree vote percent (1st Round) — At least 62% Elections 62% kals 1 $1.5k
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029 Politics 19% kals 1 $1.5k
Texas House of Representatives winner — Republican Party Elections 78% kals 1 $1.5k
California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? — Orange Elections 32% kals 1 $1.5k
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 225 Politics 5.5% kals 1 $1.5k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sanae Takaichi Politics 3.9% kals 1 $1.5k
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 8.5% kals 1 $1.5k
North Carolina State Senate winner? — Republican party Elections 86% kals 1 $1.5k
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Avigdor Lieberman Elections 2.5% kals 2 $1.5k
Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election? — Andris Kulbergs Elections 92% kals 1 $1.5k
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado? — Amendment 87 Elections 20% kals 1 $1.5k
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? — Bill Cassidy Politics 20% kals 1 $1.5k
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.4% Economics 5.0% kals 1 $1.5k
Arizona State Senate winner? — Democratic party Elections 57% kals 1 $1.5k
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 0.0% or Below Economics 11% kals 1 $1.5k
Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election? Elections 17% kals poly 2 $1.5k
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 16 Politics 67% kals 1 $1.5k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? — 10 Elections 4.2% kals 1 $1.5k

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