polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22130 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31386 Sports 22199 Crypto 5969 Economics 5748 Financials 4222 Commodities 3522 Politics 2632 Climate and Weather 1872 Entertainment 473 Mentions 260 Science and Technology 197

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — David Lisnard Elections 3.5% kals 1 $481
PA-05 House election: Mary Gay Scanlon vote percent — At least 70% Elections 32% kals 1 $481
CO-07 House election: Joe Krzeckowski vote percent — At least 3% Elections 12% kals 1 $480
Illinois 04 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 166K Elections 9.5% kals 1 $480
Pennsylvania 03 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 240K Elections 52% kals 1 $480
MA-03 House election: Lori Trahan vote percent — At least 70% Elections 15% kals 1 $480
Which leaders will meet before 2027? — Lula and Milei Politics — kals 1 $480
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Apr 1, 2027 Politics 29% kals 1 $480
GA-06 House election: Lucy McBath vote percent (1st Round) — At least 74% Elections 81% kals 1 $480
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? — Dan Osborn Politics 6.7% kals 1 $480
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 14% kals 4 $479
NY-18 House winner? — Jacqueline Auringer Elections 4.3% kals 1 $479
Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 290K Elections 50% kals 1 $478
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 0.0% or Below Economics 2.5% kals 1 $478
MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent — At least 6% Elections 87% kals 1 $478
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, ≥12% Elections 2.0% kals 1 $478
FL-15 House winner? — Robert People Elections 6.2% kals 1 $477
Colorado Secretary of State winner? — James Wiley Elections 6.5% kals 1 $477
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ROTOR Act Politics 5.9% kals 1 $477
MA-05 House winner? — Katherine Clark Elections 98% kals 1 $477
Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election? Elections 27% kals poly 2 $477
Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent — At least 52% Elections 69% kals 1 $476
HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent — At least 34% Elections 43% kals 1 $476
New York 12 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 200K Elections 84% kals 1 $475
Georgia Governor-Senate combo — Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win Elections 4.0% kals 1 $474
TX-10 House election: Chris Gober vote percent — At least 52% Elections 80% kals 1 $474
TX-06 House election: Jake Ellzey vote percent — At least 56% Elections 62% kals 1 $474
TN-05 House election: Charlie Hatcher vote percent — At least 50% Elections 86% kals 1 $474
SC-06 House election: John Peterson vote percent — At least 30% Elections 74% kals 1 $474
SC-02 House election: Joe Wilson vote percent — At least 52% Elections 70% kals 1 $474
OH-03 House election: Cleophus Dulaney vote percent — At least 22% Elections 80% kals 1 $474
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Jens-Frederik Nielsen Elections 3.1% kals 1 $474
Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent — At least 38% Elections — kals 1 $474
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent — At least 60% Elections 74% kals 1 $474
KY-05 House election: Ned Pillersdorf vote percent — At least 24% Elections 19% kals 1 $473
US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 1.5% Economics 62% kals 2 $473
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Dinorah Figuera Elections 1.3% kals 1 $473
Mississauga mayoral election winner? — Carolyn Parrish Elections 52% kals 1 $473
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 15 Politics 12% kals 1 $472
AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent — At least 42% Elections 90% kals 1 $472
LA-01 House election: Lauren Jewett vote percent (1st Round) — At least 32% Elections 41% kals 1 $472
Wyoming Governor election: Eric Barlow vote percent — At least 68% Elections — kals 1 $472
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent — At least 50% Elections 20% kals 1 $471
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 62 Politics 6.5% kals 1 $471
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030 — Above 10.0% Economics 9.5% kals 1 $470
TN-08 House election: David Kustoff vote percent — At least 54% Elections 86% kals 1 $470
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — Above 232 Elections 66% kals 1 $470
NY-13 House election: Bob Cohen vote percent — At least 1% Elections 6.0% kals 1 $469
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥22% Elections 6.5% kals 1 $468
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Bill Hwang Politics 6.0% kals 2 $468

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