polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 74 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Fed maintains rate Economics 82% kals 1 $3.4M
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps Economics 18% kals 1 $560.5k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75% Economics 98% kals 2 $89.6k
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00% Economics 21% kals 2 $79.8k
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Maintains rate Economics 84% kals 1 $75.4k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50% Economics — kals 2 $49.8k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75% Economics — kals 2 $24.5k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.25% Economics 98% kals 2 $19.4k
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps Economics 18% kals 1 $14.0k
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics — kals 1 $13.0k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50% Economics 5.5% kals 2 $11.6k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00% Economics — kals 2 $11.2k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.25% Economics 16% kals 2 $6.4k
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents — Rate: No change, Dissents: 0 Economics 64% kals 1 $4.2k
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Beth Hammack Economics 60% kals 1 $4.1k
Will Leanne Raw win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 15% kals poly 2 $4.0k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 44% kals 1 $3.0k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 52% kals 1 $2.4k
Launceston mayoral election winner? — Matthew Garwood Elections 56% kals poly 2 $1.7k
Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election? Elections 17% kals poly 2 $1.5k
Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 11% kals poly 2 $1.4k
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Lorie Logan Economics 46% kals 1 $1.3k
Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? Elections 24% kals poly 2 $1.2k
Russia unemployment rate in September — Above 2.1% Economics — kals 1 $1.2k
Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 22% kals poly 2 $1.2k
Will Michael Johnstone win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 10% kals poly 2 $1.1k
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 0 Economics 28% kals 1 $1.1k
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? Elections 22% kals poly 2 $1.0k
Clarence mayoral election winner? — Brendan Blomeley Elections 54% kals poly 2 $956
Will Rose Diamond win the next Launceston mayoral election? Elections 0.6% kals poly 2 $936
Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 1.0% kals poly 2 $864
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Neel Kashkari Economics 34% kals 1 $858
Will Mary Duniam win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 2.9% kals poly 2 $717
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 3 Economics 22% kals 1 $592
Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? Elections 0.6% kals poly 2 $587
Will Adam Barnett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? Elections 12% kals poly 2 $564
Will Paul Mallett win the next Launceston mayoral election? Elections 2.3% kals poly 2 $561
Clarence mayoral election winner? — Drew Jenner Elections 6.0% kals poly 2 $557
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 2 Economics 26% kals 1 $507
Will Wendy Mitchell win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? Elections 3.2% kals poly 2 $506
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 92% kals 1 $495
Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election? Elections 27% kals poly 2 $477
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents — Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 Economics 9.0% kals 1 $427
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 1 Economics 22% kals 1 $355
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics — kals 1 $211
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.75% Economics — kals 2 $147
Russia unemployment rate in September — Above 2.3% Economics — kals 1 $145
Will Tim Walker win the next Launceston mayoral election? Elections 9.5% kals poly 2 $94
Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election? Elections 3.1% kals poly 2 $79
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00% Economics — kals 2 $71

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