polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24489 Economics 5393 Crypto 5300 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1633 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 260 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.5% Economics 78% kals 1 $18.2k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.5% Economics 81% kals 2 $17.8k
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 1,600 units Economics 78% kals 1 $17.8k
CPI in November — Above 0.1% Economics 60% kals 1 $17.1k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 4.0% Economics 24% kals 2 $17.1k
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 41% kals 1 $16.9k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2% Economics 96% kals 1 $15.9k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.75% Economics 86% kals 8 $15.6k
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 92% kals 1 $15.6k
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2% Economics 42% kals 1 $14.8k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.5% Economics 94% kals 2 $14.6k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7% Economics 12% kals 1 $14.5k
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 1,700 units Economics 74% kals 1 $14.2k
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps Economics 18% kals 1 $14.0k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.0% Economics 64% kals 2 $13.8k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.50 Economics — kals 1 $13.7k
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.0% of GDP Economics 95% kals 1 $13.5k
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? — In 2026 Economics 2.2% kals 1 $13.4k
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.7% Economics 37% kals 1 $13.1k
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics — kals 1 $13.0k
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 0ㅤ Economics 94% kals 1 $12.9k
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 30% kals 1 $12.7k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.5% Economics 36% kals 2 $12.7k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.00% Economics 96% kals 8 $12.5k
Fed decision in Apr 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 64% kals 1 $12.3k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50% Economics 5.5% kals 2 $11.6k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% Economics 44% kals 1 $11.4k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25% Economics 94% kals 8 $11.3k
CPI in December — Above 0.1% Economics 92% kals 1 $11.3k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00% Economics — kals 2 $11.2k
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.5% Economics 17% kals 1 $10.9k
Bank of Japan rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 96% kals 1 $10.9k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0% Economics 26% kals 1 $10.8k
Fed decision in Mar 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 52% kals 1 $10.6k
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 1,800 units Economics 60% kals 1 $10.2k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.50% Economics 94% kals 8 $10.0k
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — Above 1,250 units Economics 92% kals 1 $9.8k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.25% Economics 95% kals 8 $9.8k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.0% Economics 98% kals 2 $9.7k
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 1,900 units Economics 40% kals 1 $9.6k
Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 11% kals 1 $9.5k
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.6% Economics 42% kals 1 $9.2k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.4% Economics 92% kals 1 $9.1k
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.6% Economics 50% kals 1 $9.1k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7% Economics 68% kals 1 $9.1k
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — Above 950 units Economics 98% kals 1 $9.0k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.6% Economics 57% kals 1 $8.8k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.00 Economics 98% kals 1 $8.7k
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — Above 1,400 units Economics 56% kals 1 $8.6k
Fed decision in Mar 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 47% kals 1 $8.6k

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