polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1076 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24634 Crypto 5404 Economics 5393 Commodities 2903 Politics 2616 Financials 2447 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 144

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026? — Yes Politics 28% kals 1 $395
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/11 - 10/17) — Above 0 Politics 16% kals 1 $386
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026? — At least 1 Politics — kals 1 $379
Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 1.8% kals poly 2 $377
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 16 Politics 64% kals 1 $372
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Benjamin Netanyahu Politics 5.5% kals 1 $372
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Co Politics 36% kals 1 $368
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Lawrence VanDyke Politics 1.1% kals 1 $368
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Dec 1, 2026 Politics 42% kals 4 $364
Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 5.9% kals 1 $362
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 64 Politics 8.0% kals 1 $361
When will a reconciliation bill become law? — Before Jan 1, 2029 Politics 40% kals 5 $361
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 6 Politics 3.5% kals 1 $360
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 4% Politics 83% kals 1 $358
Who will Trump pardon? — Matt Borges Politics 16% kals 2 $355
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Chris Christie Politics 4.5% kals 1 $355
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Leonard Glenn Francis Politics 9.0% kals 1 $346
Will Louise Haigh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 3.5% kals poly 2 $341
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 2 Politics 3.5% kals 1 $339
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 17 Politics 14% kals 1 $337
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Giorgia Meloni Politics 3.1% kals 1 $334
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Rodrigo Paz Pereira Politics 7.8% kals 1 $331
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Lee Jun-seok Politics 5.9% kals 1 $330
Who will Trump pardon? — Joseph Maldonado Politics 18% kals 2 $328
Which bills will become law in 2026? — SELF DRIVE Act Politics 2.5% kals 1 $328
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 8 Politics 46% kals 1 $325
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.2% Politics 47% kals 1 $321
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jennifer Siebel Newsom Politics 7.0% kals 1 $320
Ken Martin out as DNC chair? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 54% kals 1 $318
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking? — Yes Politics 20% kals 1 $315
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 9 Politics 1.5% kals 1 $312
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Ruben Gallego Politics 6.0% kals 1 $311
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 45 Politics — kals 1 $309
Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 20% kals 2 $308
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 9.0% kals 3 $305
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027? Politics 3.9% kals 1 $302
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 40 Politics — kals 1 $297
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 5 Politics — kals 1 $295
Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? — Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite Politics 55% kals 1 $290
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term? — At least 1 Politics 64% kals 1 $282
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Kenneth Lee Politics 1.5% kals 1 $282
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Cyril Ramaphosa Politics 14% kals 1 $281
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 10% Politics 11% kals 1 $280
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Neomi Rao Politics 1.9% kals 1 $279
Who will Trump pardon? — Leon Stanton Politics 14% kals 1 $276
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Barbara Lagoa Politics 1.5% kals 1 $274
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Brandon Johnson Politics 3.9% kals 1 $273
Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules? — Before Nov 3, 2026 Politics — kals 1 $271
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 66 Politics 6.5% kals 1 $269
When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia? — Before Dec 1, 2026 Politics 47% kals 3 $267

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