polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31352 Sports 18431 Crypto 5614 Economics 5551 Financials 3296 Commodities 3242 Politics 2613 Climate and Weather 1669 Entertainment 471 Science and Technology 228 Mentions 210

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Arizona Governor election: Andy Biggs vote percent — At least 50% Elections 84% kals 1 $4.6k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Eric Trump Elections 0.4% kals 1 $4.5k
Alaska Governor-Senate combo — Republicans sweep Elections 20% kals 1 $4.5k
MN-05 House election: John Nagel vote percent — At least 18% Elections 67% kals 1 $4.5k
CA-29 House winner? — Luz Rivas Elections 93% kals 1 $4.5k
Nebraska Attorney General winner? — Mike Hilgers Elections 92% kals 1 $4.5k
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas? — Economic Development Districts Amendment Elections 76% kals 1 $4.5k
South Dakota Governor winner? — Larry Rhoden Elections 98% kals 1 $4.5k
OH-03 House winner? — Joyce Beatty Elections 98% kals 1 $4.5k
West Virginia governor winner? (2028) — Republican Elections 88% kals 1 $4.5k
Will Stephen Kinnock be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 5.3% kals poly 2 $4.5k
Greek general election winner? — New Democracy Elections 86% kals 1 $4.5k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security Politics 28% kals 1 $4.5k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 233-237 Elections 1.1% kals 1 $4.5k
Taiwan Local Elections winner? — Kuomintang Elections 72% kals 1 $4.5k
FL-15 House winner? — Laurel Lee Elections 92% kals 1 $4.4k
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 47% Elections 66% kals 1 $4.4k
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 7.9% kals poly 2 $4.4k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee? — 0 Elections 85% kals 1 $4.4k
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — Before Mar 1, 2027 Politics 74% kals 2 $4.4k
Florida Governor-Senate combo — Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win Elections 78% kals 1 $4.4k
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Wes Moore Elections 5.8% kals 1 $4.4k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0% Economics 18% kals 1 $4.4k
Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percent — At least 52% Elections 92% kals 1 $4.4k
MI-08 House winner? — Kristen McDonald Rivet Elections 95% kals 1 $4.4k
NJ-05 House winner? — Josh Gottheimer Elections 97% kals 1 $4.4k
Amazonas Governor winner? — Omar Aziz Elections 92% kals 1 $4.4k
OH-12 House winner? — Troy Balderson Elections 95% kals 1 $4.3k
WI-07 House winner? — Michael Alfonso Elections 94% kals 1 $4.3k
Fed decision in Dec 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 8.5% kals 1 $4.3k
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026? — Above 25,000 Elections 90% kals 1 $4.3k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25% Economics 94% kals 8 $4.3k
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 46% Elections 87% kals 1 $4.3k
Kansas Governor-Senate combo — Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win Elections 22% kals 1 $4.3k
Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — At least 4,800,000 Elections 98% kals 1 $4.3k
New York Governor margin of victory — Hochul, 10+ pts Elections 70% kals 1 $4.3k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Graham Platner Elections — kals 1 $4.3k
VA-10 House winner? — Suhas Subramanyam Elections 97% kals 1 $4.3k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.50 Economics 13% kals 1 $4.3k
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent — At least 40% Elections 93% kals 1 $4.3k
CA-21 House winner? — Jim Costa Elections 95% kals 1 $4.3k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — Democrats, ≥10% Elections 38% kals 1 $4.3k
Kaohsiung mayoral election winner? — Lai Jui-lung Elections 79% kals 1 $4.3k
Maine State Senate winner? — Democratic party Elections 92% kals 1 $4.3k
Kenya Senate election winner? — Coalition including ODM Elections 52% kals 1 $4.3k
Tennessee Governor winner? — Jerri Green Elections 6.0% kals 1 $4.2k
Louisiana Senate winner? — Jamie Davis Elections 6.1% kals 1 $4.2k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00% Economics 93% kals 8 $4.2k
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Fabien Roussel Elections 80% kals poly 2 $4.2k
TX-28 House winner? — Tano Tijerina Elections 7.7% kals 1 $4.2k

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