polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31351 Sports 18801 Crypto 5584 Economics 5480 Financials 3382 Commodities 3244 Politics 2610 Climate and Weather 1669 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 229 Mentions 212

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
FL-12 House election: Gus Bilirakis vote percent — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
Will the French United Left primary be canceled? — Yes Politics 86% kals 1 $1.9k
OH-01 House winner? — Eric Conroy Elections 9.0% kals 1 $1.9k
WI-06 House winner? — Brad Smith Elections 6.9% kals 1 $1.9k
North Carolina governor winner? (2028) — Democratic Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
Michigan Governor election: John James vote percent — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — Democrats, ≥4% Elections 90% kals 1 $1.9k
Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? — Yes Politics — kals 1 $1.9k
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Haley Stevens Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
MN-07 House winner? — Michelle Fischbach Elections 97% kals 1 $1.9k
OH-02 House election: Jennifer Mazzuckelli vote percent — At least 30% Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
New York Governor margin of victory — Hochul, 16+ pts Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
IL-09 House winner? — Daniel Biss Elections 98% kals 1 $1.9k
Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value? — Yes Elections 26% kals 1 $1.9k
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026? — Above 32,500 Elections 42% kals 1 $1.9k
Will Netanyahu be arrested? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 5.0% kals 2 $1.9k
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent — At least 54% Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
NY-24 House election: Claudia Tenney vote percent — At least 56% Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho? — Drug Legalization Authority Amendment Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
Berlin State Election: 4th Place — Grüne Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
Malaysian general election winner? — PH-anchored coalition Elections 36% kals 1 $1.9k
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House? — Before Nov 3, 2026 Politics 1.5% kals 1 $1.9k
Wisconsin Governor margin of victory — Crowley, 7+ pts Elections 22% kals 1 $1.9k
OH-07 House election: Max Miller vote percent — At least 44% Elections — kals 1 $1.9k
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Denver Politics 37% kals 1 $1.9k
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds — 2 Elections 14% kals 1 $1.9k
NE-03 House winner? — Adrian Smith Elections 98% kals 1 $1.9k
MN-04 House election: Betty McCollum vote percent — At least 64% Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
Argentina presidential election winner? — Axel Kicillof Elections 31% kals 1 $1.8k
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics — kals 1 $1.8k
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds — 3 Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 181 Economics — kals 1 $1.8k
Winnipeg mayoral election winner? — Scott Gillingham Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
Arizona Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 26% kals 1 $1.8k
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 180 Politics 84% kals 1 $1.8k
When will Wales call a snap election? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 17% kals 2 $1.8k
TX-31 House winner? — John Carter Elections 95% kals 1 $1.8k
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5% Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.0% of GDP Economics — kals 1 $1.8k
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? — South Carolina Politics — kals 1 $1.8k
TX-30 House winner? — Frederick Haynes III Elections 98% kals 1 $1.8k
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? — Before 2027 Politics 4.2% kals 1 $1.8k
WV-01 House winner? — Carol Miller Elections 97% kals 1 $1.8k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Ilhan Omar Politics — kals 1 $1.8k
KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent — At least 58% Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
Bosniak member of the Presidency winner? — Denis Becirovic Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
LA-03 Democratic nominee? — John Day Elections 12% kals 1 $1.8k
OH-07 House election: Max Miller vote percent — At least 40% Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
California 42 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 152K Elections — kals 1 $1.8k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Steve Bannon Elections 0.2% kals 1 $1.8k

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