polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22095 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31318 Sports 21359 Crypto 5852 Economics 5795 Financials 3859 Commodities 3448 Politics 2616 Climate and Weather 1750 Entertainment 491 Mentions 235 Science and Technology 193

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent — At least 2% Elections 37% kals 1 $1.0k
Ohio Governor-Senate combo — Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win Elections 7.5% kals 1 $1.0k
IL-16 House winner? — Paul Nolley Elections 4.0% kals 1 $1.0k
IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent — At least 56% Elections 73% kals 1 $1.0k
California 08 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 164K Elections 84% kals 1 $1.0k
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? — At least 5 Elections 7.0% kals 1 $1.0k
NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent — At least 44% Elections 89% kals 1 $1.0k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% Economics — kals 1 $1.0k
Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Fed maintains rate Economics — kals 1 $1.0k
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 5.60M Elections 30% kals 1 $1.0k
NM-03 House winner? — Teresa Leger Fernández Elections 96% kals 1 $1.0k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 7.0% kals 1 $1.0k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana? — 1 Elections 93% kals 1 $1.0k
Nevada Governor margin of victory — Ford, 4+ pts Elections 22% kals 1 $1.0k
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo — Cinde Warmington and Chris Pappas win Elections 4.5% kals 1 $1.0k
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Republican sweep Elections 7.8% kals 1 $1.0k
TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent — At least 60% Elections 6.5% kals 1 $1.0k
Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win? — Pinellas Elections 36% kals 1 $998
OH-08 House winner? — Warren Davidson Elections 92% kals 1 $998
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent — At least 50% Elections 28% kals 1 $997
How many bills will Trump veto in 2026? — At least 4 Politics 10% kals 1 $997
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 94% kals 1 $997
Georgia Attorney General winner? — Brian Strickland Elections 48% kals 1 $996
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? — any 3rd Amendment c Politics 8.5% kals 1 $996
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -1.5% of GDP Economics 27% kals 1 $995
Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank? — Pablo Hernández de Cos Politics 38% kals 1 $995
MI-06 House winner? — Debbie Dingell Elections 97% kals 1 $994
SC-02 House winner? — Zyon Khalifa Elections 12% kals 1 $992
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? — Before Jan 1, 2031 Politics 78% kals 1 $991
WI-08 House winner? — Rick Crosson Elections 10% kals 1 $989
New Mexico Senate winner? — Larry E. Marker Elections 2.3% kals 1 $988
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.500 Economics — kals 1 $987
FL-26 House winner? — Nicole Locklin Elections 11% kals 1 $987
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — Above 226 Elections 87% kals 1 $987
FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent — At least 56% Elections 72% kals 1 $986
AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent — At least 50% Elections 20% kals 1 $986
Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? — Saginaw Elections 51% kals 1 $985
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 3.0% kals 1 $985
Pennsylvania 14 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 280K Elections 68% kals 1 $984
RI-02 House winner? — Seth Magaziner Elections 93% kals 1 $984
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026? — Mandatory body-worn cameras Politics 3.0% kals 1 $983
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Michelle Obama Elections 7.8% kals 1 $981
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Greg Abbott Elections 16% kals 1 $980
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 26% kals 4 $979
TX-17 House winner? — Casey Shepard Elections 4.7% kals 1 $979
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) — Rahm Eman Elections 25% kals 1 $977
NJ-04 House winner? — Chris Smith Elections 97% kals 1 $977
Rhode Island Governor winner? — Ken Block Elections 4.5% kals 1 $975
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before 4AM Nov 4 Elections 50% kals 1 $975
Poland general election winner? — Law and Justice Elections 48% kals 1 $975

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