polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24511 Economics 6154 Crypto 5270 Commodities 2859 Politics 2616 Financials 2428 Climate and Weather 1600 Entertainment 461 Science and Technology 220 Mentions 146

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
CPI-U index in September — Above 337.000 Economics — kals 1 $84
When will the next US recession start? — Q3 2025 Economics 1.5% kals 1 $83
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033 — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $83
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $83
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.9% Economics 5.5% kals 1 $82
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026 — Above 5.0% Economics 7.0% kals 1 $81
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $81
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032 — Above 5.5% Economics 59% kals 1 $81
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 — Above 35.0% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $80
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? — Exactly 2.8% Economics 13% kals 1 $80
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 0.0% or Below Economics 15% kals 1 $79
US real GDP growth in 2028? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 4.0% kals 1 $79
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 — Above 30% Economics 44% kals 1 $79
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 4.5% kals 1 $79
Brazil unemployment rate in September — Above 5.2% Economics — kals 1 $78
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics — kals 1 $77
US real GDP growth in 2028? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $77
CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 2.6% Economics 12% kals 1 $77
When will the next US recession start? — Q1 2025 Economics — kals 1 $76
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027 — Above 9.0% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $75
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $75
Bank of Israel rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $75
US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — Above 5.0% Economics 30% kals 1 $74
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $73
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028 — Above 9.0% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $72
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 3.9% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $72
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028 — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $71
Norway rate decision in November — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $71
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00% Economics — kals 2 $71
Sweden rate decision in November — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $70
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028 — Above 9.5% Economics 7.5% kals 1 $70
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.7% Economics — kals 1 $69
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP — Above $29,000 Economics 23% kals 1 $68
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.3% Economics 20% kals 1 $68
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.4% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $68
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.9% Economics — kals 1 $67
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 4 Economics 4.5% kals 1 $66
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 — Above 40% Economics 18% kals 1 $66
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 — Above 1.6% Economics 18% kals 1 $66
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Hike more than 50bps Economics — kals 1 $66
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — John Williams Economics — kals 1 $65
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $65
CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.4% Economics 12% kals 1 $65
Chile rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $64
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 1.5% Economics — kals 1 $63
Bank of Japan rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $63
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.7% Economics — kals 1 $63
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 3.2% Economics 11% kals 1 $63
CPI core in December 2026 — Above 0.7% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $62
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 3.1% to 3.5% Economics 9.5% kals 1 $62

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