polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24457 Economics 5393 Crypto 5366 Commodities 2698 Politics 2612 Financials 2347 Climate and Weather 1622 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.650 Economics — kals 1 $486
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 1ㅤ Economics 6.5% kals 1 $484
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above Economics — kals 1 $483
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 2.0% Economics 52% kals 1 $483
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 0.0% or Below Economics 2.5% kals 1 $478
CPI core in October — Above 0.7% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $477
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $475
US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 1.5% Economics 62% kals 2 $473
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030 — Above 10.0% Economics 9.5% kals 1 $470
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5% Economics 5.5% kals 1 $458
Fed decision in Apr 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 12% kals 1 $458
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 0.5% Economics 84% kals 1 $458
US nominal GDP growth in 2026 — Above 4.5% Economics 94% kals 1 $448
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 16% kals 1 $447
US real GDP growth in 2028? — 6.1% or Above Economics 8.0% kals 1 $447
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 4.1% to 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $439
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 4.1% to 4.5% Economics 4.0% kals 1 $433
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents — Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 Economics 6.0% kals 1 $429
US nominal GDP growth in 2026 — Above 6.0% Economics 52% kals 1 $429
CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.5% Economics 34% kals 1 $428
CPI in December — Above 0.7% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $428
CPI core in December 2026 — Above 0.3% Economics 19% kals 1 $425
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.6% Economics — kals 1 $425
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 — Above 1.0% Economics 62% kals 1 $420
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 182 Economics 40% kals 1 $418
Philippines rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 24% kals 1 $409
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 11% kals 1 $405
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -0.5% of GDP Economics 5.5% kals 1 $400
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $400
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $397
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.100 Economics — kals 1 $396
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 1.0% Economics 72% kals 1 $396
Bank of Japan rate decision in October — Hike 25bps Economics 4.5% kals 1 $395
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.450 Economics — kals 1 $392
CPI in September — Above 0.8% Economics — kals 1 $391
Chile rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $388
Turkey rate decision in October — Cut 1-250bps Economics — kals 1 $386
US shelter CPI in September — Above 430.9 Economics — kals 1 $385
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 — Above 31.0% Economics 96% kals 1 $384
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 12% kals 1 $383
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 5.5% kals 1 $381
Fed decision in Mar 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 7.0% kals 1 $377
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — Above 1,550 units Economics 38% kals 1 $377
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Cut 1-25bps Economics 90% kals 1 $377
Norway rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 14% kals 1 $376
France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -6.0% of GDP Economics 90% kals 1 $367
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 180 Economics 90% kals 1 $366
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 2.75% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $364
CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.1% Economics 12% kals 1 $363
Czech National Bank rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 10% kals 1 $360

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