| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Politics |
39% |
kals |
1 |
$2.2k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — James Clapper
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$2.2k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 150
Politics |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$2.2k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ahmad al-Sharaa
Politics |
5.1% |
kals |
1 |
$2.2k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 170
Politics |
86% |
kals |
1 |
$2.2k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 19
Politics |
34% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
Politics |
11% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| When will the Senate pass a budget resolution? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — $2.50 Coin
Politics |
7.1% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Pharmaceutical Research and Manufactu
Politics |
24% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Prakazrel Michel
Politics |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Amul Thapar
Politics |
3.3% |
kals |
1 |
$2.1k |
| Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Judy Shelton
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$2.0k |
| Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
16% |
kals |
1 |
$2.0k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
Politics |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$2.0k |
| Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? — Iowa
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$2.0k |
| Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court? — Before 2027
Politics |
7.1% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 1
Politics |
24% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026? — Critical minerals
Politics |
25% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Will the US ban crude oil exports? — Before 2027
Politics |
6.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Will the French United Left primary be canceled? — Yes
Politics |
86% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? — Yes
Politics |
69% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Peter Strzok
Politics |
17% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House? — Before Nov 3, 2026
Politics |
1.6% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Denver
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$1.9k |
| Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
51% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 180
Politics |
84% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| When will Wales call a snap election? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
15% |
kals |
2 |
$1.8k |
| Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? — South Carolina
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
Politics |
53% |
kals poly |
3 |
$1.8k |
| How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 55
Politics |
9.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 238
Politics |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 12
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
37% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 234
Politics |
56% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Marco Rubio
Politics |
30% |
kals |
1 |
$1.8k |
| Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? — Yes
Politics |
21% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028? — Yes
Politics |
74% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| When will the FY2027 NDAA become law? — Before Feb 1, 2027
Politics |
36% |
kals |
6 |
$1.7k |
| How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 60
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
93% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
Politics |
9.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair? — Before Nov 1,
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Will Netanyahu be arrested? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
5.0% |
kals |
2 |
$1.7k |
| What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Trump Airport
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.7k |
| Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 8
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |