polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22066 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24500 Economics 6169 Crypto 5389 Commodities 2990 Financials 2640 Politics 2616 Climate and Weather 1599 Entertainment 461 Science and Technology 227 Mentions 146

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Thomas Massie Elections 0.5% kals poly 2 $12.0k
IA-02 House winner? — Lindsay James Elections 57% kals 1 $12.0k
New Hampshire Governor winner? — Cinde Warmington Elections 5.5% kals 1 $12.0k
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 25 Politics 38% kals 1 $11.9k
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Karim Bouamrane Elections 6.5% kals poly 3 $11.9k
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Ulf Kristersson Elections 14% kals 1 $11.8k
TN-05 House winner? — Charlie Hatcher Elections 94% kals 1 $11.8k
NY-03 House winner? — Mike LiPetri Elections 12% kals 1 $11.8k
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas? — Water Infrastructure Bond Question Elections 88% kals 1 $11.8k
St. Petersburg Mayoral Election — Charlie Crist Elections 90% kals 1 $11.8k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Gretchen Whitmer Elections 28% kals 1 $11.8k
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% Elections 96% kals 1 $11.8k
2028 House winner — Democratic party Elections 76% kals 1 $11.7k
Michigan Governor-Senate combo — Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win Elections 68% kals 1 $11.7k
WI-08 House winner? — Tony Wied Elections 88% kals 1 $11.7k
Minnesota Attorney General winner? — Ronald J. Schutz Elections 26% kals 1 $11.7k
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Pete Hegseth Politics 18% kals poly 2 $11.6k
VA-08 House winner? — Don Beyer Elections 97% kals 1 $11.6k
Wisconsin Governor margin of victory — Crowley, 1+ pts Elections 72% kals 1 $11.6k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50% Economics 5.5% kals 2 $11.6k
Ohio Governor-Senate combo — Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win Elections 56% kals 1 $11.6k
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 175 Politics 90% kals 1 $11.5k
2028 Republican VP nominee — J.D. Vance Elections 5.5% kals 1 $11.5k
CA-17 winner? (Person) — Ro Khanna Elections 98% kals 1 $11.5k
Israeli legislative election winner? — Likud Elections 40% kals 1 $11.5k
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Bernard Cazeneuve Elections 6.2% kals poly 3 $11.4k
OH-09 House winner? — Derek Merrin Elections 28% kals 1 $11.4k
CPI in December — Above 0.1% Economics 92% kals 1 $11.4k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25% Economics 94% kals 8 $11.3k
NJ-11 House winner? — Analilia Mejia Elections 97% kals 1 $11.3k
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 1.2% kals poly 2 $11.3k
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — María Corina Machado Elections 2.4% kals 1 $11.3k
NJ-09 House winner? — Nellie Pou Elections 96% kals 1 $11.3k
MD-01 House winner? — Andy Harris Elections 92% kals 1 $11.3k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00% Economics — kals 2 $11.2k
Next German federal election winner? — AfD Elections 84% kals 1 $11.2k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 214-217 Elections 3.4% kals 1 $11.1k
Montgomery County, TX Judge winner? — Mark Keough Elections 96% kals 1 $11.1k
MO-02 House winner? — Fred Wellman Elections 24% kals 1 $11.1k
MI-01 House winner? — Jack Bergman Elections 89% kals 1 $11.1k
CA-07 House winner? — Mai Vang Elections 41% kals 1 $11.1k
AR-01 House winner? — Rick Crawford Elections 98% kals 1 $11.1k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 246-249 Elections 6.6% kals 1 $11.0k
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.5% Economics 17% kals 1 $10.9k
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte Politics 18% kals 1 $10.9k
WA-03 House winner? — John Braun Elections 9.8% kals 1 $10.9k
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Jun 1, 2027 Politics 36% kals 1 $10.9k
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — John McEntee Elections 32% kals 1 $10.8k
Bank of Japan rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 95% kals 1 $10.8k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 52 Elections 6.5% kals 1 $10.7k

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