polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31352 Sports 18219 Crypto 5545 Economics 5516 Financials 3235 Commodities 3192 Politics 2612 Climate and Weather 1669 Entertainment 470 Science and Technology 234 Mentions 209

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
VA-09 House winner? — Morgan Griffith Elections 97% kals 1 $5.3k
Berlin State Election: 2nd Place — CDU Elections — kals 1 $5.3k
CA-47 House winner? — Dave Min Elections 96% kals 1 $5.3k
New York City mayoral election winner? — Zohran Mamdani Elections 86% kals 1 $5.3k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — James Clapper Politics 11% kals 1 $5.2k
How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — Below 8 Elections 94% kals 1 $5.2k
South Dakota Governor election: Larry Rhoden vote percent — At least 54% Elections 92% kals 1 $5.2k
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Michael Cohen Politics 30% kals 1 $5.2k
New Mexico Governor winner? — Greggory D. Hull Elections 6.6% kals 1 $5.2k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Barack Obama Politics 3.6% kals 1 $5.2k
Idaho Governor winner? — Brad Little Elections 97% kals 1 $5.2k
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win? — Collin Elections 68% kals 1 $5.2k
Which ballot measures will pass in Indiana? — Public Question 2 Elections 81% kals 1 $5.2k
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 50% Elections 92% kals 1 $5.2k
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics 1.5% kals 1 $5.2k
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045? Politics 14% kals 1 $5.2k
Will Rubio and Vance run for President? — JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican Politics 48% kals 1 $5.2k
TX-10 House winner? — Chris Gober Elections 91% kals 1 $5.2k
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 4.0% Economics 9.5% kals 2 $5.2k
Gambian presidential election winner? — Adama Barrow Elections 72% kals 1 $5.2k
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December — Maintain current rate Economics 76% kals 1 $5.2k
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Glenn Youngkin Elections 38% kals 1 $5.2k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Chris Van Hollen Elections 60% kals 1 $5.1k
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling? — Before 2029 Politics 42% kals 1 $5.1k
MI-09 House winner? — Lisa McClain Elections 97% kals 1 $5.1k
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 54% Elections 20% kals 1 $5.1k
TN-04 House winner? — Scott DesJarlais Elections 97% kals 1 $5.1k
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona? — Proposition 141 Elections 96% kals 1 $5.1k
CPI in November — Above 0.2% Economics 45% kals 1 $5.1k
CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.2% Economics 39% kals 1 $5.1k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 14 Politics 92% kals 1 $5.1k
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? Politics 3.9% kals poly 2 $5.1k
Australian House election winner? — Australian Labor Party Elections 50% kals 1 $5.1k
CA-27 House winner? — George Whitesides Elections 96% kals 1 $5.1k
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Mark Kelly Elections 4.9% kals 1 $5.1k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.4% Economics 96% kals 1 $5.1k
TX-38 House winner? — Jon Bonck Elections 96% kals 1 $5.1k
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Gérald Darmanin Elections 4.8% kals poly 2 $5.1k
Who will Trump pardon? — Eric Trump Politics 57% kals 1 $5.1k
GA-01 House winner? — Jim Kingston Elections 92% kals 1 $5.1k
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? Politics 12% kals poly 1 $5.0k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 2.5% Economics 76% kals 1 $5.0k
TX-21 House winner? — Mark Teixeira Elections 96% kals 1 $5.0k
CA-09 House winner? — Josh Harder Elections 97% kals 1 $5.0k
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states? — 2 Elections 38% kals 1 $5.0k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Tennessee Elections 98% kals 1 $5.0k
California Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 11.5M Elections 71% kals 1 $5.0k
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? — Mary Peltola Politics 4.9% kals 1 $5.0k
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.2% Economics 21% kals 1 $5.0k
CA-01 House winner? — Mike McGuire Elections 94% kals 1 $5.0k

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