polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22063 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24374 Economics 5393 Crypto 5267 Politics 2612 Commodities 2595 Financials 2282 Climate and Weather 1621 Entertainment 459 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 143

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 0.1% kals poly 2 $49.1k
ME-02 House winner? — Paul LePage Elections 65% kals 1 $49.0k
CO-05 House winner? — Jeff Crank Elections 76% kals 1 $48.9k
NC-01 House winner? — Don Davis Elections 66% kals 1 $48.4k
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 0.2% kals poly 2 $48.3k
VA-01 House winner? — Shannon Taylor Elections 52% kals 1 $47.5k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — James Talarico Elections 1.5% kals 1 $46.8k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 95.0 TWh Economics 90% kals 1 $46.4k
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? — Before 2027 Politics 3.2% kals 1 $46.3k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Wes Moore Elections 75% kals 1 $46.3k
Oklahoma Governor winner? — Mike Mazzei Elections 92% kals 1 $46.3k
Arizona Governor winner? — Andy Biggs Elections 12% kals 1 $46.1k
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Magdalena Andersson Elections 82% kals 1 $46.0k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 51 Elections 14% kals 1 $45.8k
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 22% kals 3 $45.8k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.00 Economics 88% kals 1 $45.7k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Republicans win Politics 5.1% kals 1 $45.6k
Maine Senate Exact Outcome — Republican party wins Elections 42% kals 1 $45.0k
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027 Politics 4.8% kals 1 $44.2k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8% Economics 51% kals 1 $44.1k
Taipei mayoral election winner? — Chiang Wan-an Elections 60% kals 1 $43.8k
MN-01 House winner? — Jake Johnson Elections 24% kals 1 $43.7k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 8 to 10% Politics 26% kals 1 $43.4k
Will the US acquire any new territory? — Before Jan 2028 Politics 22% kals 3 $42.6k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Abdul El-Sayed Elections — kals 1 $42.2k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1% Economics — kals 1 $42.0k
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 20 Politics 76% kals 1 $41.9k
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 4 Politics 86% kals 1 $41.6k
IA-03 House winner? — Sarah Trone Garriott Elections 80% kals 1 $41.3k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Rahm Emanuel Elections 1.5% kals 1 $41.3k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Mark Cuban Elections 0.7% kals 1 $41.1k
Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.1% Economics — kals 1 $41.0k
FL-22 House winner? — Pia Dandiya Elections 55% kals 1 $40.9k
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner — Bo French Elections 44% kals 1 $39.2k
Alabama Governor winner? — Tommy Tuberville Elections 93% kals 1 $38.8k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 198-202 Elections 16% kals 1 $38.6k
NY-21 House winner? — Anthony Constantino Elections 74% kals 1 $38.5k
Will the SAVE America Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 2.9% kals 5 $38.4k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Thomas Massie Elections 0.9% kals 1 $38.1k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Wes Moore Elections 1.3% kals 1 $37.7k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — John Brennan Politics 22% kals 1 $37.6k
SC-01 House winner? — Nancy S. Lacore Elections 28% kals 1 $37.5k
PA-08 House winner? — Rob Bresnahan Elections 26% kals 1 $37.5k
TX-35 House winner? — Carlos De La Cruz Elections 40% kals 1 $37.3k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 193-197 Elections 14% kals 1 $37.1k
Taipei mayoral election winner? — Shen Bo-yang Elections 37% kals 1 $37.0k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 203-207 Elections 16% kals 1 $36.5k
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? Elections 8.8% kals poly 2 $36.4k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $4.40 Economics — kals 1 $36.4k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 10 to 12% Politics 20% kals 1 $35.7k

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