polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1077 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24653 Crypto 5415 Economics 5412 Politics 2636 Commodities 2571 Financials 2319 Climate and Weather 1651 Entertainment 461 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026? — Yes Politics 33% kals 1 $5.4k
Who will Trump pardon? — Jared Kushner Politics 62% kals 2 $5.4k
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? — Before 2027 Politics 4.5% kals 1 $5.3k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Barack Obama Politics 3.9% kals 1 $5.2k
Will Rubio and Vance run for President? — JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican Politics 48% kals 1 $5.2k
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling? — Before 2029 Politics 40% kals 1 $5.1k
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? Politics 3.9% kals poly 2 $5.1k
Who will Trump pardon? — Eric Trump Politics 55% kals 1 $5.1k
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? Politics 12% kals poly 1 $5.0k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 14 Politics 92% kals 1 $5.0k
Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law? — Yes Politics 37% kals 1 $4.8k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Barack Obama Politics 2.6% kals 1 $4.7k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 222 Politics 91% kals 1 $4.6k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — James Clapper Politics 8.5% kals 1 $4.5k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 190 Politics 80% kals 1 $4.5k
Will Stephen Kinnock be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 5.3% kals poly 2 $4.5k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security Politics 28% kals 1 $4.5k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Bill Clinton Politics 5.1% kals 1 $4.4k
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — Before Mar 1, 2027 Politics 72% kals 2 $4.4k
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? — Bill Gates Politics 39% kals 1 $4.2k
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 200 Politics — kals 1 $4.2k
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? — At least 1 Politics 66% kals 1 $4.1k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act Politics 12% kals 1 $4.1k
Will the filibuster be weakened? — Before 2027 Politics 5.3% kals 3 $4.1k
Who will visit the White House in 2026? — Bill Maher Politics 84% kals 1 $4.0k
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 7.9% kals poly 2 $4.0k
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Stephen Miran Politics 6.6% kals 1 $3.9k
Who will Trump pardon? — Pete Hegseth Politics 56% kals 1 $3.9k
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? — Before 2027 Politics 5.3% kals 1 $3.9k
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? Politics 34% kals 3 $3.9k
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 160 Politics 92% kals 1 $3.8k
Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027? Politics 10% kals poly 4 $3.8k
Will Angela Eagle be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 1.9% kals poly 2 $3.7k
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Roybal v. Griffith Politics 60% kals 1 $3.7k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Lisa Cook Politics 14% kals 1 $3.7k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 198 Politics 54% kals 1 $3.6k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 214 Politics 96% kals 1 $3.6k
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — John Kiriakou Politics 10% kals 1 $3.6k
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 6 Politics 22% kals 1 $3.6k
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? — Yes Politics 10% kals 1 $3.6k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 210 Politics 97% kals 1 $3.6k
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Howard Lutnick Politics 14% kals poly 2 $3.6k
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — James Ho Politics 12% kals 1 $3.5k
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 3 Politics 3.4% kals 1 $3.5k
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $10 billion to $99 billion Politics 1.9% kals 1 $3.4k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 16% and above Politics 1.7% kals 1 $3.4k
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $300 billion to $599 billion Politics 1.9% kals 1 $3.4k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 14 to 16% Politics 3.0% kals 1 $3.4k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Adam Schiff Politics 12% kals 1 $3.4k
Who will Trump pardon? — Larry Householder Politics 29% kals 2 $3.3k

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