polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31351 Sports 19472 Economics 6390 Crypto 5772 Financials 3482 Commodities 3349 Politics 2610 Climate and Weather 1664 Entertainment 458 Science and Technology 228 Mentions 211

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Wisconsin Governor margin of victory — Tiffany, 2+ pts Elections 14% kals 1 $1.5k
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥2% Elections 49% kals 1 $1.5k
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% Elections 87% kals 1 $1.5k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Mahmoud Khalil Politics 16% kals 1 $1.5k
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election? — Narendra Modi Elections 42% kals 1 $1.5k
Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent — At least 54% Elections 25% kals 1 $1.5k
CA-03 House election: Ami Bera vote percent — At least 52% Elections — kals 1 $1.5k
KY-06 House election: Zach Dembo vote percent — At least 42% Elections 84% kals 1 $1.5k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Delcy Rodriguez Politics 6.1% kals 1 $1.5k
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win? — Saratoga Elections 60% kals 1 $1.5k
Missouri State Senate District 8 winner? — Jon Patterson Elections 63% kals 1 $1.5k
OH-02 House election: David Taylor vote percent — At least 62% Elections 88% kals 1 $1.5k
Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats? — 30 or more Elections — kals 1 $1.5k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Chris Murphy Elections 64% kals 1 $1.5k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada? — 4 Elections 26% kals 1 $1.5k
MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $1.5k
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Roy Cooper Elections 1.2% kals 1 $1.5k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Greg Abbott Elections 0.2% kals poly 2 $1.5k
Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska? — Ballot Measure 2 Elections 40% kals 1 $1.5k
Will Danny O'Brien be the next Premier of Victoria? Elections 0.2% kals poly 2 $1.5k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 2.0% Economics 82% kals 1 $1.5k
Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 16% kals 1 $1.5k
Connecticut Governor winner? — Ryan Fazio Elections 4.2% kals 1 $1.5k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 214 Elections 12% kals 1 $1.5k
Connecticut Senate winner? (2028) — Democratic party Elections 96% kals 1 $1.5k
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? — 100 to 499 Politics 52% kals 1 $1.5k
Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts? — Question 1 Elections 91% kals 1 $1.5k
PA-04 House winner? — Madeleine Dean Elections 96% kals 1 $1.5k
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 9.40M Elections 78% kals 1 $1.5k
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 45% kals 4 $1.5k
NY-13 House winner? — Darializa Avila Chevalier Elections 98% kals 1 $1.5k
Who will Trump pardon? — Todd Blanche Politics 38% kals 1 $1.5k
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 14% kals 4 $1.5k
Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent — At least 2% Elections 56% kals 1 $1.5k
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 7% Politics 86% kals 1 $1.5k
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Michelle Obama Elections 1.5% kals 1 $1.5k
Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent — At least 62% Elections 33% kals 1 $1.5k
Dominican Republic Senate election winner? — Modern Revolutionary Party Elections 75% kals 1 $1.5k
Oakland Mayor winner? — Barbara Lee Elections 92% kals 1 $1.5k
Arizona State Senate winner? — Republican party Elections 40% kals 1 $1.5k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio? — 6 Elections 36% kals 1 $1.5k
IL-08 House winner? — Melissa Bean Elections 96% kals 1 $1.5k
Which ballot measures will pass in California? — Proposition 42 Elections — kals 1 $1.5k
PA-07 House election: Bob Brooks vote percent — At least 50% Elections 80% kals 1 $1.5k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? — 2 Elections 26% kals 1 $1.5k
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? — Before 2028 Elections 7.0% kals 1 $1.5k
Colorado Attorney General winner? — Michael Allen Elections 6.2% kals 1 $1.5k
Kansas Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 74% kals 1 $1.5k
Washington Senate winner? (2028) — Democratic party Elections 94% kals 1 $1.5k
Michigan Governor election: John James vote percent — At least 48% Elections 16% kals 1 $1.5k

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