polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22063 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24425 Economics 5393 Crypto 5260 Politics 2612 Commodities 2539 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1622 Entertainment 457 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Michelle Obama Elections 1.6% kals 1 $96.8k
South Dakota Senate winner? — Mike Rounds Elections 95% kals 1 $94.5k
MN-05 House winner? — Ilhan Omar Elections 93% kals 1 $91.3k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75% Economics 98% kals 2 $89.6k
VA-02 House winner? — Elaine Luria Elections 86% kals 1 $89.5k
Kentucky Senate winner? — Andy Barr Elections 96% kals 1 $88.7k
WI-03 House winner? — Rebecca Cooke Elections 74% kals 1 $88.5k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Elections 57% kals 1 $87.4k
North Carolina Senate winner? — Michael Whatley Elections 5.0% kals 1 $87.3k
NY-03 House winner? — Tom Suozzi Elections 88% kals 1 $87.2k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Kamala Harris Elections 56% kals 1 $86.2k
Florida Senate winner? — Angie Nixon Elections 9.2% kals 1 $85.4k
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 0.1% kals poly 2 $85.3k
Michigan Governor winner? — Jocelyn Benson Elections 94% kals 1 $85.0k
2028 Republican VP nominee — Marco Rubio Elections 26% kals 1 $84.6k
CA-11 House winner? — Scott Wiener Elections 82% kals 1 $84.6k
OH-07 House winner? — Brian Poindexter Elections 80% kals 1 $84.1k
CPI in September — Above 0.3% Economics 98% kals 1 $84.0k
Oregon Governor winner? — Tina Kotek Elections 74% kals 1 $83.9k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00% Economics 84% kals 8 $82.5k
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — R-House, D-Senate Elections 0.8% kals 1 $81.4k
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? — Before election day 2026 Politics 1.9% kals 1 $81.4k
Alaska Governor winner? (Party) — Democratic party Elections 80% kals 1 $80.9k
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00% Economics 21% kals 2 $79.8k
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? — Before 2027 Politics 5.9% kals 1 $79.3k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Texas Elections 98% kals 1 $78.7k
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 1.2% kals poly 2 $78.3k
NC-11 House winner? — Jamie Ager Elections 78% kals 1 $77.8k
Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 18% kals 5 $77.8k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2% Economics 88% kals 1 $77.5k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Below 53 Elections 64% kals 1 $77.3k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Mark Kelly Elections 3.0% kals 1 $76.9k
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 15 Politics 95% kals 1 $75.6k
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Maintains rate Economics 84% kals 1 $75.4k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Florida Elections 98% kals 1 $75.3k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Pete Buttigieg Elections 2.9% kals 1 $75.3k
New York Attorney General winner? — Letitia James Elections 93% kals 1 $75.2k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Ilhan Omar Politics 38% kals 1 $75.1k
NY-17 House winner? — Mike Lawler Elections 42% kals 1 $74.3k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ron DeSantis Elections 2.8% kals poly 3 $73.3k
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 2.9% kals poly 2 $72.9k
Kansas Governor winner? — Ty Masterson Elections 74% kals 1 $72.2k
CPI in October — Above 0.1% Economics 96% kals 1 $72.0k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Miguel Díaz-Canel Politics 8.8% kals 1 $71.8k
PA-01 House winner? — Bob Harvie Elections 36% kals 1 $71.8k
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 1.1% kals poly 2 $71.8k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Andy Beshear Elections 3.0% kals 1 $70.5k
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Elections 0.1% kals poly 2 $69.7k
Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028 Elections 91% kals 1 $69.4k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 249 Elections 12% kals 1 $67.9k

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