polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24425 Economics 5393 Crypto 5260 Politics 2612 Commodities 2539 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1622 Entertainment 457 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 6.5% kals 1 $2.6k
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above Economics 38% kals 1 $2.6k
China unemployment rate in September — Above 4.9% Economics — kals 1 $2.5k
Bank of England rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 92% kals 1 $2.5k
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 18% kals 1 $2.4k
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.4% Economics 7.5% kals 1 $2.4k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 51% kals 1 $2.4k
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 23% kals 1 $2.4k
CPI core in November 2026 — Above 0.1% Economics 82% kals 1 $2.4k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.1% Economics 98% kals 1 $2.4k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.0% Economics 7.5% kals 1 $2.3k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -7.5% of GDP Economics 23% kals 1 $2.3k
Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 55% kals 1 $2.3k
Colombia rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 30% kals 1 $2.3k
US tariff revenue for 2026 — Above $250‎ billion Economics — kals 1 $2.3k
Bank of Korea rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 96% kals 1 $2.2k
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 3.1% to 3.5% Economics 2.9% kals 1 $2.1k
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 13% kals 1 $2.1k
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 15% kals 1 $2.0k
Bank of Russia rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 88% kals 1 $1.9k
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps Economics 45% kals 1 $1.9k
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.0% of GDP Economics 55% kals 1 $1.8k
Colombia rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 62% kals 1 $1.8k
Bank of Japan rate decision in December — Hike 25bps Economics 68% kals 1 $1.7k
CPI in September — Above 0.7% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $1.7k
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.3% Economics 17% kals 1 $1.7k
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.5% Economics 7.5% kals 1 $1.6k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.9% Economics 16% kals 1 $1.6k
Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 60% kals 1 $1.6k
US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 0.0% Economics 89% kals 1 $1.5k
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 0.0% or Below Economics 10% kals 1 $1.5k
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 8.5% kals 1 $1.5k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 2.0% Economics 80% kals 1 $1.5k
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 181 Economics 73% kals 1 $1.4k
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? — Exactly 0.2% Economics 39% kals 1 $1.4k
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.2% Economics 90% kals 1 $1.4k
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.00% Economics 13% kals 8 $1.4k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $1.4k
CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.4% Economics 44% kals 1 $1.4k
CPI in October — Above 0.4% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $1.4k
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 370 Economics — kals 1 $1.4k
China’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -8.0% of GDP Economics 40% kals 1 $1.4k
CPI core in November 2026 — Above 0.3% Economics 12% kals 1 $1.3k
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $1.3k
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Lorie Logan Economics 46% kals 1 $1.3k
US real GDP growth in 2028? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 12% kals 1 $1.3k
Philippines rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 69% kals 1 $1.3k
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 17% kals 1 $1.3k
CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.2% Economics 37% kals 1 $1.3k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 2.50 Economics — kals 1 $1.3k

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