polyrag

The schedule the markets identify

What the markets say is coming, and how much money is on each date.

Dates where something is scheduled to happen. A contract closing on 31 December is a deadline, not an occasion, and does not appear here.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

October 2026 · 5 dated

MTWTFSS
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 Election 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 Election 25
26 Election 27 Election 28 29 30 31 Election

November 2026 · 6 dated

MTWTFSS
1 Election
2 3 Election 4 5 6 7 Election 8
9 10 Election 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20 21 22
23 24 25 26 27 28 Election 29
30 Election

December 2026

MTWTFSS
1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 31

January 2027 · 2 dated

MTWTFSS
1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 Election 17
18 19 Election 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30 31

What is on those dates

2026-10-17 Election · Elections in 3 days · 12 claims · $107.7k
43% Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? $33.6k
42% Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? $10.1k
49% Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election? $9.1k
74% Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? $7.3k
36% Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election? $7.1k
0.2% Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? $6.5k

All claims closing 2026-10-17 →

2026-10-24 Election · Elections in 10 days · 5 claims · $35.4k
80% Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? $13.6k
86% Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? $6.2k
58% Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? $5.3k
62% Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? $5.2k
26% Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? $5.2k

All claims closing 2026-10-24 →

2026-10-26 Election · Elections in 12 days · 20 claims · $260.3k
88% Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? $38.9k
68% Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? $34.2k
90% Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? $17.5k
8.3% Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? $17.4k
0.5% Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? $16.1k
93% Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? $15.7k

All claims closing 2026-10-26 →

2026-10-27 Election · Elections in 13 days · 6 claims · $88.8k
34% Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $26.8k
14% Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $21.3k
32% Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $18.8k
4.9% Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $10.1k
94% Will Israel election happen as scheduled? $6.7k
28% Israeli election results in a hung parliament? $5.0k

All claims closing 2026-10-27 →

2026-10-31 Election · Elections in 17 days · 8 claims · $79.4k
66% Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? $17.1k
6.5% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Karim Bouamrane $11.9k
6.2% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Bernard Cazeneuve $11.4k
4.1% Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? $11.4k
4.0% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jérôme Guedj $7.8k
36% Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? $7.4k

All claims closing 2026-10-31 →

2026-11-01 Election · Elections in 18 days · 7 claims · $556.8k
98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — California $203.3k
98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Louisiana $130.8k
98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Texas $78.7k
98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Florida $75.3k
99% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Ohio $33.2k
98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — North Carolina $23.1k

All claims closing 2026-11-01 →

2026-11-03 Election · Elections in 20 days · 93 claims · $2.0M
68% Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? — Democratic Party $151.1k
0.1% Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? $127.7k
0.1% Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? $112.6k
92% Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? $95.2k
3.9% New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? $69.6k
3.5% Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? $59.4k

All claims closing 2026-11-03 →

2026-11-07 Election · Elections in 24 days · 17 claims · $165.6k
44% Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $34.3k
56% Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $25.6k
36% Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $9.8k
50% Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? $9.4k
61% Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $8.8k
44% Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? $7.8k

All claims closing 2026-11-07 →

2026-11-10 Election · Elections in 27 days · 1 claims · $283.3k
92% Will the midterms happen on time? — Yes $283.3k

All claims closing 2026-11-10 →

2026-11-28 Election · Elections in 45 days · 3 claims · $26.7k
5.2% Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? $9.3k
67% Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? $9.1k
76% Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? $8.3k

All claims closing 2026-11-28 →

2026-11-30 Election · Elections in 47 days · 4 claims · $83.0k
24% Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $31.1k
0.1% Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $18.7k
0.1% Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $17.6k
0.2% Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $15.4k

All claims closing 2026-11-30 →

2027-01-16 Election · Elections in 94 days · 5 claims · $126.0k
71% Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $79.6k
16% Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $23.9k
0.4% Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $8.4k
0.4% Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $7.4k
0.4% Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $6.6k

All claims closing 2027-01-16 →

2027-01-19 Election · Elections in 97 days · 3 claims · $22.1k
94% Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 60% $10.3k
86% Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 65% $6.0k
74% Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 70% $5.8k

All claims closing 2027-01-19 →

2027-02-01 Election · Elections in 110 days · 46 claims · $7.9M
60% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Democrats sweep $3.0M
10% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Republicans sweep $2.0M
30% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — D-House, R-Senate $1.2M
36% How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 $581.6k
26% How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 193 $194.1k
0.8% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — R-House, D-Senate $92.9k

All claims closing 2027-02-01 →

2027-02-06 Election · Elections in 115 days · 20 claims · $177.7k
70% Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? $18.4k
46% Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? $14.1k
82% Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election? $13.3k
86% Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? $11.5k
83% Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election? $10.3k
90% Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election? $9.6k

All claims closing 2027-02-06 →

2027-04-17 Election · Elections in 185 days · 22 claims · $288.1k
86% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Marine Le Pen $28.5k
12% Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? $27.5k
12% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jordan Bardella $21.6k
3.5% Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? $21.1k
88% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Édouard Philippe $17.1k
28% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — François Hollande $15.5k

All claims closing 2027-04-17 →

2027-04-30 Election · Elections in 198 days · 5 claims · $49.3k
9.5% Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $21.2k
85% Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $10.3k
40% Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $7.6k
3.2% Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $5.1k
5.5% Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $5.1k

All claims closing 2027-04-30 →

2027-05-01 Election · Elections in 199 days · 4 claims · $25.8k
21% Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? $8.2k
6.2% Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? $7.2k
15% Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? $5.3k
10% Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? $5.2k

All claims closing 2027-05-01 →

2027-06-06 Election · Elections in 235 days · 37 claims · $438.0k
72% Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? $37.5k
62% Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? $26.3k
50% Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? $23.8k
85% Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? $22.3k
26% Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? $19.3k
6.5% Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? $17.5k

All claims closing 2027-06-06 →

2027-10-24 Election · Elections in 375 days · 12 claims · $480.5k
36% Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $112.5k
7.6% Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $57.6k
2.1% Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $48.7k
0.3% Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $41.7k
2.9% Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $41.6k
0.9% Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $39.1k

All claims closing 2027-10-24 →

2027-10-25 Election · Elections in 376 days · 15 claims · $2.9M
86% Brazil Presidential election winner? — Flávio Bolsonaro $2.3M
14% Brazil Presidential election winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva $373.1k
96% Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Tocantins $21.6k
96% Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 45% $15.8k
98% Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 48% $15.2k
86% Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amapá $10.4k

All claims closing 2027-10-25 →

2027-10-27 Election · Elections in 378 days · 5 claims · $175.4k
30% Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Benjamin Netanyahu $116.9k
48% Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Gadi Eizenkot $29.1k
14% Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Naftali Bennett $12.6k
41% Israeli legislative election winner? — Likud $11.5k
56% Israeli legislative election winner? — Yashar $5.3k

All claims closing 2027-10-27 →

2027-11-03 Election · Elections in 385 days · 15 claims · $112.3k
91% Georgia: Which elections will be won outright? — Governor $21.2k
94% Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election? — Hugo Soto-Martinez $8.3k
92% Louisville Mayor Election winner? — Craig Greenberg $7.8k
80% California Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 10.9M $7.4k
93% Georgia: Which elections will be won outright? — Senate $7.2k
92% MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent — At least 58% $7.1k

All claims closing 2027-11-03 →