polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 127 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Which party will win the U.S. House? — Democratic Party Elections 90% kals 1 $17.2M
Which party will win the U.S. House? — Republican Party Elections 10% kals 1 $4.1M
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Democratic Party Elections 62% kals 1 $3.9M
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party Elections 38% kals 1 $3.1M
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Democrats sweep Elections 60% kals 1 $3.0M
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Republicans sweep Elections 10% kals 1 $2.0M
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — D-House, R-Senate Elections 30% kals 1 $1.2M
Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seat Politics 82% kals 1 $1.1M
Will Trump be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 66% kals poly 11 $998.3k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 Elections 36% kals 1 $581.6k
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 12% kals 7 $339.7k
Blue tsunami in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more s Politics 47% kals 1 $323.2k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 193 Elections 26% kals 1 $194.1k
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — R-House, D-Senate Elections 0.8% kals 1 $92.9k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Below 53 Elections 64% kals 1 $72.3k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 249 Elections 12% kals 1 $56.6k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 51 Elections 14% kals 1 $39.6k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 203-207 Elections 18% kals 1 $38.6k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? Politics 18% kals poly 11 $36.9k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 198-202 Elections 16% kals 1 $36.3k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 218-222 Elections 6.0% kals 1 $34.4k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 193-197 Elections 14% kals 1 $34.4k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 48 Elections 16% kals 1 $29.6k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 208-212 Elections 12% kals 1 $28.7k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 50 Elections 12% kals 1 $28.5k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 230-233 Elections 16% kals 1 $28.2k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 234-237 Elections 14% kals 1 $26.7k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 49 Elections 9.2% kals 1 $24.8k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 45 Elections 7.5% kals 1 $24.6k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Below 45 Elections 2.5% kals 1 $24.3k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 213-217 Elections 7.3% kals 1 $21.5k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 238-241 Elections 12% kals 1 $20.9k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 226-229 Elections 12% kals 1 $19.6k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Below 210 Elections 4.5% kals 1 $18.4k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 47 Elections 12% kals 1 $18.1k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 223-227 Elections 3.5% kals 1 $17.9k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 48 Elections 6.8% kals 1 $17.6k
Midterms: Blue trickle? — Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House AND hold 48 or more Elections 92% kals 1 $17.0k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 51 Elections 10% kals 1 $16.4k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 47 Elections 4.5% kals 1 $16.1k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 242-245 Elections 8.6% kals 1 $12.9k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 50 Elections 12% kals 1 $12.7k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Above 57 Elections 2.5% kals 1 $12.5k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 46 Elections 10% kals 1 $11.6k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 246-249 Elections 6.6% kals 1 $11.1k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 214-217 Elections 3.2% kals 1 $10.8k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 52 Elections 6.5% kals 1 $10.7k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 222-225 Elections 7.5% kals 1 $10.2k
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 46 Elections 2.7% kals 1 $9.6k
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 218-221 Elections 4.9% kals 1 $9.0k

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