The schedule the markets identify

October 2026 · 9 dated

November 2026 · 6 dated

December 2026 · 2 dated

January 2027 · 7 dated

What is on those dates

What the markets say is coming, and how much money is on each date.

Dates where something is scheduled to happen. A contract closing on 31 December is a deadline, not an occasion, and does not appear here.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

14 Inflation print

28 Fed decision

29 GDP release

30 GDP release

2026-10-14 Inflation print · Economics today · 21 claims · $2.0M

66% CPI in September — Above 0.5% $415.2k

50% Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6% $280.0k

90% CPI in September — Above 0.4% $261.1k

88% Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5% $197.8k

78% CPI core in September — Above 0.1% $148.6k

36% CPI in September — Above 0.2% $130.6k

All claims closing 2026-10-14 →

2026-10-17 Election · Elections in 3 days · 12 claims · $107.7k

43% Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? $33.6k

42% Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? $10.1k

49% Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election? $9.1k

74% Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? $7.3k

36% Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election? $7.1k

0.2% Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? $6.5k

All claims closing 2026-10-17 →

2026-10-24 Election · Elections in 10 days · 5 claims · $35.4k

80% Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? $13.6k

86% Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? $6.2k

58% Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? $5.3k

62% Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? $5.2k

26% Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? $5.2k

All claims closing 2026-10-24 →

2026-10-26 Election · Elections in 12 days · 20 claims · $260.3k

88% Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? $38.9k

68% Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? $34.2k

90% Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? $17.5k

8.3% Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? $17.4k

0.5% Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? $16.1k

93% Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? $15.7k

All claims closing 2026-10-26 →

2026-10-27 Election · Elections in 13 days · 6 claims · $88.8k

34% Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $26.8k

14% Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $21.3k

32% Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $18.8k

4.9% Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? $10.1k

94% Will Israel election happen as scheduled? $6.7k

28% Israeli election results in a hung parliament? $5.0k

All claims closing 2026-10-27 →

2026-10-28 Fed decision · Economics in 14 days · 11 claims · $4.2M

82% Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Fed maintains rate $3.4M

18% Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps $560.5k

98% Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75% $89.6k

21% Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00% $79.8k

— Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50% $49.8k

— Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75% $24.5k

All claims closing 2026-10-28 →

2026-10-29 GDP release · Economics in 15 days · 5 claims · $88.2k

2.1% Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? $30.2k

28% Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? $22.2k

32% Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? $16.3k

38% Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? $10.9k

5.2% Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? $8.4k

All claims closing 2026-10-29 →

2026-10-30 GDP release · Economics in 16 days · 11 claims · $216.9k

92% US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.0% $58.4k

62% Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? $38.6k

41% Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? $19.4k

81% US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.5% $17.8k

24% US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 4.0% $17.1k

94% US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.5% $14.6k

All claims closing 2026-10-30 →

2026-10-31 Election · Elections in 17 days · 8 claims · $79.4k

66% Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? $17.1k

6.5% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Karim Bouamrane $11.9k

6.2% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Bernard Cazeneuve $11.4k

4.1% Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? $11.4k

4.0% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jérôme Guedj $7.8k

36% Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? $7.4k

All claims closing 2026-10-31 →

2026-11-01 Election · Elections in 18 days · 7 claims · $556.8k

98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — California $203.3k

98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Louisiana $130.8k

98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Texas $78.7k

98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Florida $75.3k

99% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Ohio $33.2k

98% Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — North Carolina $23.1k

All claims closing 2026-11-01 →

2026-11-03 Election · Elections, Economics, Politics in 20 days · 108 claims · $2.4M

68% Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? — Democratic Party $151.1k

0.1% Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? $127.7k

0.1% Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? $112.6k

2.4% Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? — Before election day 2026 $96.8k

92% Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? $95.2k

3.9% New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? $69.6k

All claims closing 2026-11-03 →

2026-11-07 Election · Elections in 24 days · 17 claims · $165.6k

44% Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $34.3k

56% Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $25.6k

36% Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $9.8k

50% Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? $9.4k

61% Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? $8.8k

44% Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? $7.8k

All claims closing 2026-11-07 →

2026-11-10 Election · Elections in 27 days · 1 claims · $283.3k

92% Will the midterms happen on time? — Yes $283.3k

All claims closing 2026-11-10 →

2026-11-28 Election · Elections in 45 days · 3 claims · $26.7k

5.2% Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? $9.3k

67% Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? $9.1k

76% Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? $8.3k

All claims closing 2026-11-28 →

2026-11-30 Election · Elections in 47 days · 4 claims · $83.0k

24% Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $31.1k

0.1% Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $18.7k

0.1% Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $17.6k

0.2% Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $15.4k

All claims closing 2026-11-30 →

2026-12-09 Fed decision · Economics in 56 days · 4 claims · $254.7k

74% Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps $174.7k

23% Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Fed maintains rate $63.3k

28% Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? $10.5k

17% Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? $6.2k

All claims closing 2026-12-09 →

2026-12-10 Inflation print · Economics in 57 days · 16 claims · $203.2k

50% Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8% $43.4k

34% Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% $23.3k

98% Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.0% $20.7k

60% CPI in November — Above 0.1% $17.1k

96% Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2% $15.9k

26% Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0% $10.8k

All claims closing 2026-12-10 →

2027-01-03 Election · Politics in 81 days · 6 claims · $45.3k

84% How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 15 $9.5k

94% How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 12 $8.7k

92% How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 14 $7.7k

88% How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 182 $7.4k

80% How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 226 $6.9k

92% How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 14 $5.0k

All claims closing 2027-01-03 →

2027-01-13 Inflation print · Economics in 91 days · 9 claims · $99.2k

44% Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8% $25.4k

78% Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.5% $18.2k

44% Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% $11.4k

92% CPI in December — Above 0.1% $11.3k

94% Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.3% $7.8k

88% Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% $7.6k

All claims closing 2027-01-13 →

2027-01-16 Election · Elections in 94 days · 5 claims · $126.0k

71% Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $79.6k

16% Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $23.9k

0.4% Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $8.4k

0.4% Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $7.4k

0.4% Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? $6.6k

All claims closing 2027-01-16 →

2027-01-19 Election · Elections in 97 days · 3 claims · $22.1k

94% Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 60% $10.3k

86% Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 65% $6.0k

74% Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 70% $5.8k

All claims closing 2027-01-19 →

2027-01-22 Inflation print · Economics in 100 days · 3 claims · $75.0k

53% Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? $31.6k

58% Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? $28.5k

0.4% Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? $15.0k

All claims closing 2027-01-22 →

2027-01-27 Fed decision · Economics in 105 days · 20 claims · $398.5k

84% Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00% $82.5k

70% Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25% $59.2k

90% Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25% $33.8k

94% Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50% $32.5k

66% Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Fed maintains rate $31.1k

92% Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00% $22.7k

All claims closing 2027-01-27 →

2027-01-31 GDP release · Economics in 109 days · 10 claims · $694.4k

1.5% Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? $116.7k

0.1% Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? $87.9k

1.2% Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? $81.4k

6.2% Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? $80.8k

0.1% Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? $75.3k

— Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? $67.7k

All claims closing 2027-01-31 →

2027-02-01 Election · Elections in 110 days · 46 claims · $7.9M

60% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Democrats sweep $3.0M

10% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Republicans sweep $2.0M

30% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — D-House, R-Senate $1.2M

36% How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 $581.6k

26% How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 193 $194.1k

0.8% 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — R-House, D-Senate $92.9k

All claims closing 2027-02-01 →

2027-02-06 Election · Elections in 115 days · 20 claims · $177.7k

70% Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? $18.4k

46% Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? $14.1k

82% Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election? $13.3k

86% Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? $11.5k

83% Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election? $10.3k

90% Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election? $9.6k

All claims closing 2027-02-06 →

2027-02-12 GDP release · Economics in 121 days · 4 claims · $70.0k

78% Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? $29.4k

9.0% Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? $20.0k

3.0% Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? $11.9k

0.2% Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? $8.7k

All claims closing 2027-02-12 →

2027-04-17 Election · Elections in 185 days · 22 claims · $288.1k

86% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Marine Le Pen $28.5k

12% Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? $27.5k

12% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jordan Bardella $21.6k

3.5% Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? $21.1k

88% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Édouard Philippe $17.1k

28% 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — François Hollande $15.5k

All claims closing 2027-04-17 →

2027-04-30 Election · Elections in 198 days · 5 claims · $49.3k

9.5% Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $21.2k

85% Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $10.3k

40% Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $7.6k

3.2% Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $5.1k

5.5% Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? $5.1k

All claims closing 2027-04-30 →

2027-05-01 Election · Elections in 199 days · 4 claims · $25.8k

21% Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? $8.2k

6.2% Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? $7.2k

15% Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? $5.3k

10% Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? $5.2k

All claims closing 2027-05-01 →

2027-06-06 Election · Elections in 235 days · 37 claims · $438.0k

72% Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? $37.5k

62% Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? $26.3k

50% Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? $23.8k

85% Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? $22.3k

26% Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? $19.3k

6.5% Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? $17.5k

All claims closing 2027-06-06 →

2027-10-24 Election · Elections in 375 days · 12 claims · $480.5k

36% Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $112.5k

7.6% Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $57.6k

2.1% Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $48.7k

0.3% Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $41.7k

2.9% Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $41.6k

0.9% Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? $39.1k

All claims closing 2027-10-24 →

2027-10-25 Election · Elections in 376 days · 15 claims · $2.9M

86% Brazil Presidential election winner? — Flávio Bolsonaro $2.3M

14% Brazil Presidential election winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva $373.1k

96% Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Tocantins $21.6k

96% Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 45% $15.8k

98% Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 48% $15.2k

86% Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amapá $10.4k

All claims closing 2027-10-25 →

2027-10-27 Election · Elections in 378 days · 5 claims · $175.4k

30% Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Benjamin Netanyahu $116.9k

48% Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Gadi Eizenkot $29.1k

14% Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Naftali Bennett $12.6k

41% Israeli legislative election winner? — Likud $11.5k

56% Israeli legislative election winner? — Yashar $5.3k

All claims closing 2027-10-27 →

2027-11-03 Election · Elections, Politics in 385 days · 23 claims · $321.4k

5.3% 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Republicans win $46.5k

26% 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 8 to 10% $43.4k

22% 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 6 to 8% $34.3k

20% 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 10 to 12% $33.9k

91% Georgia: Which elections will be won outright? — Governor $21.2k

10% 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 4 to 6% $15.3k

All claims closing 2027-11-03 →