polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 75 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 38% kals 17 $1.2M
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 12% kals 7 $339.7k
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 5.8% kals 7 $257.0k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — California Elections 98% kals 1 $203.3k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Louisiana Elections 98% kals 1 $130.8k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Texas Elections 98% kals 1 $78.7k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Florida Elections 98% kals 1 $75.3k
Will the SAVE America Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 2.9% kals 5 $38.4k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? Politics 18% kals poly 11 $36.9k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Ohio Elections 99% kals 1 $33.2k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — North Carolina Elections 98% kals 1 $23.1k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Virginia Elections 2.1% kals 1 $12.5k
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Elections 82% kals 5 $6.8k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Tennessee Elections 98% kals 1 $5.0k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Missouri Elections 0.9% kals 1 $4.8k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Utah Elections 3.2% kals 1 $2.8k
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 60% kals 4 $2.8k
When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 12% kals 4 $2.7k
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 10 Politics 82% kals 1 $2.5k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Alabama Elections 2.5% kals 1 $2.1k
When will Serbia call its presidential election? — Before Dec 1, 2026 Elections 86% kals 3 $2.0k
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law? — Before Feb 1, 2027 Politics 36% kals 6 $1.7k
Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair? — Before Nov 1, Politics — kals 1 $1.7k
Will Netanyahu be arrested? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 5.0% kals 2 $1.7k
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics — kals 3 $1.4k
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026? — Yes Politics 36% kals 1 $1.3k
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 24% kals 3 $1.3k
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 30% kals 3 $1.2k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Kansas Elections 1.2% kals 1 $1.1k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Wisconsin Elections 1.8% kals 1 $942
When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 14% kals 3 $939
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? Politics 12% kals 1 $897
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 25% kals 4 $867
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 12 Politics 74% kals 1 $857
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 3.4% kals 1 $838
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Illinois Elections 1.7% kals 1 $807
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 14 Politics 78% kals 1 $785
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 14% kals 1 $714
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 3 to 9 Politics 70% kals 1 $538
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 18 Politics 58% kals 1 $489
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 16 Politics 64% kals 1 $372
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026? — At least 1 Politics — kals 1 $369
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Dec 1, 2026 Politics 41% kals 4 $364
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — New York Elections 1.3% kals 1 $364
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — South Carolina Elections 1.9% kals 1 $329
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Maryland Elections 1.4% kals 1 $315
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Georgia Elections 1.5% kals 1 $297
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Mississippi Elections — kals 1 $177
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Indiana Elections 1.5% kals 1 $171
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Washington Elections 1.5% kals 1 $155

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