| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| Who will Trump pardon? — Donald Trump
Politics |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$32.4k |
| How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
Politics |
65% |
kals |
1 |
$32.1k |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
Politics |
5.0% |
kals poly |
2 |
$32.0k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin
Politics |
4.3% |
kals |
1 |
$31.4k |
| New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027
Politics |
14% |
kals |
4 |
$29.8k |
| Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? — New Hampshire
Politics |
86% |
kals |
1 |
$29.5k |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? — John Brennan
Politics |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$28.5k |
| Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
32% |
kals |
2 |
$28.1k |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Politics |
11% |
kals poly |
2 |
$27.6k |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Politics |
5.8% |
kals poly |
2 |
$24.3k |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
Politics |
2.8% |
kals poly |
2 |
$23.9k |
| Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.4%
Politics |
96% |
kals |
3 |
$23.8k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
Politics |
40% |
kals |
1 |
$22.7k |
| How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 2
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$19.9k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Tim Walz
Politics |
9.5% |
kals |
1 |
$19.6k |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
Politics |
20% |
kals poly |
8 |
$19.3k |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Politics |
14% |
kals poly |
2 |
$19.2k |
| Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
12% |
kals poly |
2 |
$19.2k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mohammed bin Salman
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$19.1k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — John Brennan
Politics |
25% |
kals |
1 |
$19.1k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
Politics |
9.2% |
kals |
1 |
$18.7k |
| Will the Trump family be pardoned? — Yes
Politics |
80% |
kals |
1 |
$18.3k |
| How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
Politics |
33% |
kals |
1 |
$18.2k |
| Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Clarence Thomas
Politics |
47% |
kals |
1 |
$18.2k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Sean Combs
Politics |
30% |
kals |
2 |
$17.8k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 150
Politics |
92% |
kals |
1 |
$17.5k |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$17.5k |
| Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
38% |
kals |
4 |
$17.0k |
| Courts consider Amazon a monopoly? — Government wins
Politics |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$16.7k |
| Will the US take control of any part of Canada? — Before 2029
Politics |
7.2% |
kals |
1 |
$16.4k |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? — Anthony Fauci
Politics |
9.0% |
kals |
1 |
$16.2k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 4 to 6%
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$15.3k |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
1.6% |
kals poly |
2 |
$15.2k |
| Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Pete Hegseth
Politics |
19% |
kals poly |
2 |
$14.8k |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? — Hillary Clinton
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$14.7k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Pedro Sánchez
Politics |
23% |
kals |
1 |
$13.9k |
| Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Delcy Rodríguez
Politics |
91% |
kals |
1 |
$13.8k |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Jan 31, 2028
Politics |
72% |
kals |
1 |
$13.5k |
| How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 0
Politics |
30% |
kals |
1 |
$13.4k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 12 to 14%
Politics |
8.8% |
kals |
1 |
$13.2k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Xi Jinping
Politics |
2.6% |
kals |
1 |
$13.0k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Donald Trump Jr.
Politics |
66% |
kals |
1 |
$12.9k |
| Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? — Yes
Politics |
52% |
kals |
1 |
$12.8k |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? — Letitia James
Politics |
6.4% |
kals |
1 |
$12.6k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 2 to 4%
Politics |
5.1% |
kals |
1 |
$12.5k |
| Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
11% |
kals |
4 |
$12.5k |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
Politics |
11% |
kals poly |
2 |
$12.2k |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 25
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$11.9k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 175
Politics |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$11.5k |
| Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
1.2% |
kals poly |
2 |
$11.3k |