| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| Who will Trump pardon? — JD Vance
Politics |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Markwayne Mullin
Politics |
9.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 2
Politics |
7.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — SHOWER Act
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Bob Menendez
Politics |
26% |
kals poly |
2 |
$1.6k |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Adam Telle
Politics |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain? — Before Apr 1, 2027
Politics |
28% |
kals |
4 |
$1.6k |
| Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Politics |
28% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 7%
Politics |
76% |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 190
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1.6k |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? — No other person
Politics |
58% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 225
Politics |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sanae Takaichi
Politics |
3.8% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? — Bill Cassidy
Politics |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 16
Politics |
75% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Delcy Rodriguez
Politics |
7.6% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
46% |
kals |
4 |
$1.5k |
| Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? — 100 to 499
Politics |
52% |
kals |
1 |
$1.5k |
| When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
— |
kals |
3 |
$1.4k |
| Will Alex Norris be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
5.9% |
kals poly |
2 |
$1.4k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gavin Newsom
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$1.4k |
| How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $100 billion to $299 billion
Politics |
1.8% |
kals |
1 |
$1.4k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Fani Willis
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$1.4k |
| Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
9.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? — Susan Rice
Politics |
7.3% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Hunter Biden
Politics |
6.8% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026? — Before 2027
Politics |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
42% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026? — By Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Jus
Politics |
32% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
24% |
kals |
3 |
$1.3k |
| What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 20% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Republican National Committee v. Eaki
Politics |
21% |
kals |
1 |
$1.3k |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Sean Parnell
Politics |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Will Jonathan Reynolds be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
2.3% |
kals poly |
2 |
$1.2k |
| Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Nicole Daedone
Politics |
13% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Oct 1, 2026
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Will Anneliese Midgley be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
1.3% |
kals poly |
2 |
$1.2k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jacob Frey
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Philadelphia
Politics |
32% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 13
Politics |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
Politics |
8.6% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 242
Politics |
32% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jerome Powell
Politics |
2.6% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
25% |
kals |
2 |
$1.2k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gustavo Petro
Politics |
11% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
Politics |
31% |
kals |
1 |
$1.2k |