| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? — Yes
Politics |
92% |
kals |
1 |
$11.3k |
| Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
Politics |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$10.9k |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Jun 1, 2027
Politics |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$10.9k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Politics |
7.8% |
kals |
1 |
$10.7k |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
Politics |
4.8% |
kals poly |
1 |
$10.3k |
| Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? — B
Politics |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$10.3k |
| How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 50
Politics |
7.5% |
kals |
1 |
$10.0k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 0 to 2%
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$9.9k |
| Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
52% |
kals |
3 |
$9.8k |
| Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 7
Politics |
48% |
kals |
1 |
$9.5k |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 15
Politics |
84% |
kals |
1 |
$9.5k |
| Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal? — Before 2027
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$8.9k |
| When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica? — Before Apr 1, 2027
Politics |
22% |
kals |
2 |
$8.7k |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 12
Politics |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$8.7k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Edward Snowden
Politics |
22% |
kals poly |
2 |
$8.4k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Christopher Luxon
Politics |
48% |
kals |
1 |
$8.3k |
| Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
1.7% |
kals poly |
2 |
$8.1k |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 30
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$7.9k |
| Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader? — Before Jan 1,
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$7.9k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Friedrich Merz
Politics |
6.5% |
kals |
1 |
$7.9k |
| Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
26% |
kals |
2 |
$7.8k |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 14
Politics |
92% |
kals |
1 |
$7.7k |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — No other person
Politics |
42% |
kals |
1 |
$7.5k |
| Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? — Bill Clinton
Politics |
52% |
kals |
1 |
$7.4k |
| How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 182
Politics |
88% |
kals |
1 |
$7.4k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Letitia James
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$7.4k |
| How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 1
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$7.4k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Emmanuel Macron
Politics |
4.6% |
kals |
1 |
$7.2k |
| How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $600 billion to $899 billion
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$7.2k |
| How many bills with Trump veto in 2026? — At least 1
Politics |
34% |
kals |
1 |
$7.1k |
| Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
Politics |
53% |
kals |
1 |
$7.0k |
| Will Congress override Trump's veto? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
36% |
kals |
3 |
$7.0k |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 226
Politics |
80% |
kals |
1 |
$6.9k |
| Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate? — Before Oct 25, 2026
Politics |
67% |
kals |
1 |
$6.9k |
| Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Andrew Oldham
Politics |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$6.9k |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 22
Politics |
71% |
kals |
1 |
$6.8k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jack Smith
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$6.8k |
| Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
Politics |
14% |
kals |
1 |
$6.5k |
| When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Aug 1, 2027
Politics |
35% |
kals |
5 |
$6.5k |
| When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Jan 2027
Politics |
67% |
kals |
3 |
$6.3k |
| What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? — 6 Conservatives and 3 Libera
Politics |
74% |
kals |
1 |
$6.2k |
| Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026? — a case primarily related to tar
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$5.9k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Claudia Sheinbaum
Politics |
3.1% |
kals |
1 |
$5.9k |
| Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms? — Before Nov 3, 2026
Politics |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$5.8k |
| Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
58% |
kals |
2 |
$5.8k |
| Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Michael Cohen
Politics |
31% |
kals |
1 |
$5.6k |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?
Politics |
2.5% |
kals poly |
2 |
$5.6k |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
Politics |
5.4% |
kals poly |
2 |
$5.5k |
| Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? — Yes
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$5.4k |
| Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
10% |
kals poly |
2 |
$5.4k |