polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22063 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24457 Economics 5393 Crypto 5366 Commodities 2698 Politics 2612 Financials 2347 Climate and Weather 1622 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? Politics 17% kals poly 11 $35.6k
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Politics 4.8% kals poly 2 $35.4k
SC-01 House winner? — Jenny Costa Honeycutt Elections 72% kals 1 $35.3k
Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 64% kals 6 $35.1k
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Samuel Alito Politics 64% kals 1 $35.1k
OH-09 House winner? — Marcy Kaptur Elections 72% kals 1 $34.6k
Delaware Attorney General winner? — Democratic party Elections 97% kals 1 $34.4k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 6 to 8% Politics 22% kals 1 $34.3k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25% Economics 92% kals 8 $33.8k
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) — Republican Elections 88% kals poly 1 $33.7k
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 218-222 Elections 6.0% kals 1 $33.4k
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — François Ruffin Elections 1.1% kals poly 3 $33.3k
United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.5% of GDP Economics 91% kals 1 $33.2k
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Ohio Elections 99% kals 1 $33.2k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 97.5 TWh Economics 60% kals 1 $33.0k
Who will Trump pardon? — Barron Trump Politics 48% kals 1 $32.9k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Hunter Biden Elections 0.4% kals 1 $32.8k
Maine Governor winner? — Hannah Pingree Elections 95% kals 1 $32.6k
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? Politics 5.5% kals poly 2 $32.5k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50% Economics 94% kals 8 $32.5k
Who will Trump pardon? — Donald Trump Politics 50% kals 1 $32.4k
Minnesota Attorney General winner? — Keith Ellison Elections 74% kals 1 $32.4k
How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026? Politics 65% kals 1 $32.1k
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Politics 5.0% kals poly 2 $32.0k
PA-08 House winner? — Paige Cognetti Elections 74% kals 1 $32.0k
WI-01 House winner? — Bryan Steil Elections 64% kals 1 $31.8k
Nebraska Governor winner? — Jim Pillen Elections 90% kals 1 $31.8k
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Elections 80% kals poly 2 $31.5k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin Politics 4.3% kals 1 $31.4k
NC-11 House winner? — Jennifer Balkcom Elections 24% kals 1 $31.1k
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 66% kals 1 $31.1k
New Mexico Governor winner? — Deb Haaland Elections 94% kals 1 $30.9k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Ro Khanna Elections 79% kals 1 $30.7k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 92.5 TWh Economics 94% kals 1 $30.3k
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Gadi Eizenkot Elections 48% kals 1 $30.3k
New Hampshire Governor winner? — Kelly Ayotte Elections 94% kals 1 $30.0k
TX-34 House winner? — Vicente Gonzalez Elections 84% kals 1 $29.9k
LA-06 House winner? — Republican party Elections 93% kals 1 $29.9k
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027 Politics 14% kals 4 $29.8k
AL-02 House winner? — Shomari Figures Elections 28% kals 1 $29.8k
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Tucker Carlson Elections 0.9% kals poly 2 $29.8k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 48 Elections 16% kals 1 $29.6k
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? — New Hampshire Politics 86% kals 1 $29.5k
FL-09 House winner? — Dan Green Elections 71% kals 1 $29.5k
Alaska House winner? — Republican party Elections 88% kals 1 $29.3k
Will Trump declare an election emergency? — Before Nov 4, 2026 Politics 12% kals 2 $29.1k
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner — Jon Rosenthal Elections 56% kals 1 $28.9k
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — J.D. Vance Elections 81% kals 1 $28.8k
MO-02 House winner? — Ann Wagner Elections 76% kals 1 $28.6k
AR-02 House winner? — French Hill Elections 83% kals 1 $28.6k

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