polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1073 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24425 Economics 5393 Crypto 5260 Politics 2612 Commodities 2539 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1622 Entertainment 457 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 218 Politics 92% kals 1 $3.3k
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026? — Wind turbines Politics 23% kals 1 $3.3k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Keith Ellison Politics 18% kals 1 $3.3k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Alvin Bragg Politics 14% kals 1 $3.3k
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 4.7% kals poly 2 $3.3k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 11 Politics — kals 1 $3.2k
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Aileen Cannon Politics 7.0% kals 1 $3.2k
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 15 Politics 91% kals 1 $3.1k
Will Bridget Phillipson be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 2.6% kals poly 2 $3.1k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing Politics 22% kals 1 $3.0k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Cassidy Hutchinson Politics 34% kals 1 $3.0k
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? Politics 8.2% kals 1 $3.0k
Who will Trump pardon? — Tim Leissner Politics 32% kals 2 $3.0k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 194 Politics 68% kals 1 $3.0k
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 1 Politics 18% kals 1 $3.0k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Hillary Clinton Politics 5.5% kals 1 $3.0k
Will Alan Campbell be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 4.7% kals poly 2 $3.0k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Adam Schiff Politics 5.2% kals 1 $3.0k
Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15? — Yes Politics 71% kals 1 $2.9k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 206 Politics 28% kals 1 $2.9k
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina? — Yes Politics 90% kals 1 $2.8k
Will Lucy Powell be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 6.2% kals poly 2 $2.8k
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year? — Yes Politics 31% kals 1 $2.8k
Who will Trump pardon? — Eric Adams Politics 36% kals poly 2 $2.8k
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 60% kals 4 $2.8k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 186 Politics 86% kals 1 $2.7k
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 8% Politics 71% kals 1 $2.7k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 230 Politics 70% kals 1 $2.7k
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 42% kals 1 $2.7k
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader? — Before Nov 3, 2026 Politics 14% kals 1 $2.6k
Will data center power-cost standards become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 25% kals 2 $2.5k
Who will Trump pardon? — Torence Hatch Politics 42% kals 2 $2.5k
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — D. John Sauer Politics 10% kals 1 $2.5k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition Politics 12% kals 1 $2.5k
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $1 billion to $9 billion Politics 1.2% kals 1 $2.5k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Politics 4.4% kals 1 $2.5k
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Ted Cruz Politics 4.6% kals 1 $2.5k
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 10 Politics 82% kals 1 $2.5k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Lisa Cook Politics 4.5% kals 1 $2.4k
Which G7 leader will leave office next? — Friedrich Merz Politics 26% kals 1 $2.4k
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? — Exactly 1 Politics 84% kals 1 $2.4k
Ken Martin out as DNC chair? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 22% kals 1 $2.4k
Which G7 leader will leave office next? — Emmanuel Macron Politics 71% kals 1 $2.3k
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 19 Politics 44% kals 1 $2.3k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 17 Politics 64% kals 1 $2.3k
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? Politics 8.0% kals poly 2 $2.3k
Will Heidi Alexander be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 9.4% kals poly 2 $2.3k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Mahmoud Khalil Politics 16% kals 1 $2.2k
Will Trump embargo a new country? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 6.8% kals 1 $2.2k
Who will Trump pardon? — Scott Bessent Politics 44% kals 1 $2.2k

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