Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.
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all already yes already no include undecided
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
The deadline for the resolution data (10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026) has not yet passed, and none of the supplied evidence comes from OpenRouter or reports Google's market share on the required chart. Therefore, the condition cannot be determined as already met or not met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
No evidence from the named authority (OpenRouter) or any source establishes Tencent's market share above 5.6% in the required chart. The deadline for the chart's publication has not yet passed (10:00AM ET on Sep 21, 2026 vs. current time Sep 19, 2026).
No source establishes OpenAI's OpenRouter text market share for the week of September 28, 2026, and the official OpenRouter chart has not been produced. The only specific percentage in the evidence is for a model (Space Bunny Alpha at 18.23%), not for OpenAI as a model author, and it is not from OpenRouter's official chart.
No evidence addresses Tencent's market share on OpenRouter's chart. All sources are unrelated to the resolution condition.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
No source from the named authority (Chatbot Arena/LMSYS) shows claude-opus-5-max ranked first with the Remove Style Control toggle on August 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, and the deadline has not yet arrived. The closest evidence concerns a different leaderboard (Artificial Analysis), which does not satisfy the contract's authority requirement.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
No evidence from the required authority (OpenRouter) has been provided; all sources are unrelated to OpenRouter's market share chart.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
The deadline for the official OpenRouter report (October 5, 2026, 10:00 AM ET) has not yet passed, and none of the current sources are from OpenRouter or show Google's market share for the specified week.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
No evidence provides OpenRouter's official Monday 10:00AM ET market share report for the week of Oct 5, 2026, showing OpenAI's text market share by model author rounded to one decimal place. The existing sources discuss other metrics or general trends, not the exact resolution condition.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
No evidence in the supplied documents contains OpenRouter's reported Google market share for the relevant week, so the condition is neither confirmed nor refuted.
The deadline for the OpenRouter weekly report has not yet passed at the current time, and none of the evidence shows OpenRouter's reported DeepSeek share for the week of Oct 5, 2026. One article cites third-party estimates for a September week based on OpenRouter data, but that is neither the correct week nor the required OpenRouter report.
None of the provided sources contain any data from the required authority (OpenRouter Market Share by model author) regarding Xiaomi's market share for the week of August 24, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Sources report that OpenRouter data cited by WSJ showed roughly even business spending between OpenAI and Anthropic in September 2026, but none report Anthropic's text market share by model author for the week of October 5, 2026.
The resolution depends on an official OpenRouter weekly report that has not yet been published as of 2026-10-08, and none of the cited sources supply the required chart value. The market week is still ongoing, so the condition can be neither confirmed nor ruled out yet.
The resolution criteria are too vague to determine whether the condition has been met. The evidence includes articles about Gemini's performance and comparisons, but none constitute an authoritative statement that Gemini is 'the best AI this week' as required by the contract. Without a clear authority or form, the condition cannot be considered established.
No evidence from the named authority (OpenRouter) has been provided; the supplied sources do not include the OpenRouter Top Models chart for that week, so the condition cannot be confirmed or denied.
The evidence shows at least one SpaceX launch in August 2026 (the Roman Space Telescope on Aug 30), but provides no total count of launches for the month. Without a complete manifest or official tally, it is impossible to determine whether the number exceeds 12. The deadline has not yet passed.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided 15 of 57 candidates.