Decided, but not yet settled
Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.
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31277
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219
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144
all
already yes
already no
include undecided
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No evidence provides the official CME/NYMEX daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI contract on October 1, 2026, so the condition cannot be confirmed as already met or not met.
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Brent crude oil price for October: Will it crash to $80 or surge to $120? ↗
2026-10-01
Crude oil prices have pulled back in the past two weeks as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent dropped to $97.7, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $90, also as Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West …
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Oil's New Normal Is Higher Prices ↗
2026-09-30
Oil prices pulled back on Tuesday, reversing recent gains as investors weighed signs of export recovery by Middle Eastern producers against uncertainty surrounding the fate of the Iran war. Brent crude for November delivery fell 1.5% to trade at $103.72 per ba…
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Global oil prices fall ↗
2026-10-01
This morning, Brent crude fell to $96.69 per barrel and WTI dropped to $88.90, while the price of Azeri Light rose to $112.29 per barrel.…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
News reports on September 24, 2026 show Brent trading around $102.20–$106.60 at various times, but none provide the required 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00 PM EDT (timestamped 4:59 PM). The specified time is still in the future as of the current time.
The resolution time (5:00 PM EDT / 21:00Z) has not yet occurred as of NOW 20:03:15Z, and none of the sources provide the exact 1-minute candlestick close required by the contract.
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Brent Holds Above $102 as Iran Talks Stall Over Hormuz Conditions ↗
2026-09-24
Crude oil prices took a dip today amid reports that there was willingness for peace in the Middle East on both sides of the conflict. The dip partially offset gains made earlier in the week, keeping oil benchmarks elevated. At the time of writing, Brent crude …
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Oil prices decline in global markets ↗
2026-09-24
Baku, September 24, AZERTAC On the London Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), Brent crude fell by $0.83 to settle at $102.25 per barrel. On……
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Brent petrol günü yükselişle tamamladı ↗
2026-09-24
Brent petrolün varil fiyatı, Orta Doğu’daki gelişmeler ve arz endişelerinin etkisiyle günü yüzde 3’ün üzerinde yükselişle tamamladı. Brent petrol vadeli işlemleri, önceki kapanışa göre 3,52 dolar değer kazanarak varil başına 106,60 dolardan kapandı. Petrol fiy…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
medium confidence
buy YES
moved
3 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
Sources report gold trading around USD 4,350–4,358 per ounce on September 22, 2026, but none establish the 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00 PM EDT on that date.
No evidence directly establishes the exact 5:00 PM EDT 1-minute close price for gold on September 22, 2026. The cited articles give nearby prices or daily rates but not the specific required data point from the contract's named source.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
1 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
All evidence is from news outlets or analysis sites reporting intraday or approximate prices; none cite the official CME/NYMEX settlement price for the October 2026 contract on September 10, 2026. The deadline (market close at 18:30 UTC) has not yet passed, so the official settlement is not available.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The supplied sources are news reports on regional gold prices and do not contain Pyth GOLD 1-minute candlestick close prices for 1:15 AM and 1:30 AM EDT on August 31, 2026. The named authority (Pyth GOLD oracle) has not established the required comparison, and the deadline has not yet passed.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the sources give the official daily settlement price of the October 2026 WTI futures contract on August 31, 2026; the market is still open and the settlement has not been published yet.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence provides the 1-minute candlestick close prices for WTI Oil at 5:30 AM EDT or Pyth PYTHOIL at 5:15 AM EDT from the required sources.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 8
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No official daily settlement price for October 2026 WTI crude oil futures on September 8, 2026 has been published by the exchange. The provided sources report various intraday or reference prices but not the required settlement figure.
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PETROLEO: nueva subida diaria ↗
2026-09-08
El crudo Brent, de referencia en Europa, suma un 1,98% y se ubica en 98,85 dólares por barril, mientras que el WTI se encarece un 3,19% y alcanza los 94,38 dólares. De cualquier forma, «el alza de los precios del petróleo se ha visto limitada, en cierta medida…
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WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis for September 8, 2026 ↗
2026-09-08
WTI crude oil continues to grind higher, as the commodity is testing the top of its ascending channel around the $93.50 per barrel mark after an extended climb from the channel bottom near $75.00. The post WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis for September 8, 2026 app…
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Oil Pushes Higher Toward $100 as Middle East Supply Risks Intensify ↗
2026-09-08
EnergyNow Morning Oil Price Report Report Date & Time: September 8, 2026 — 5:31 a.m. MDT Summary WTI crude is trading near US$93.81 per barrel on TradingView, up $1.16, or about 1.3%, from Monday’s official $92.65 settlement. WTI is clearly higher this morning…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 92
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
None of the provided sources report the WTI price on October 8, 2026. The condition cannot be confirmed or denied without that specific price.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides a specific WTI price above $90.99 on Sep 3, 2026. The deadline (2026-09-03T18:30:00Z) has not passed, so the price is not yet final.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides the official daily settlement price for the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on September 3, 2026, as published by the authorized exchange (e.g., CME/NYMEX). The market has not yet closed, and the provided evidence shows only intraday or previous day prices.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The resolution condition requires the close price of the BRENTX6 contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2026, which has not yet occurred. All provided sources are from August 28–30, 2026, and report general Brent crude prices on those dates, not the specific contract and time specified. No evidence establishes the condition before the deadline.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
Sources indicate WTI crude oil was trading above $92 on October 2, 2026, but the official settlement price for the day is not yet confirmed.
The market is still open and the final settlement price for WTI on October 2, 2026, has not been officially reported. While some sources show prices above $90.49, they are not authoritative and the price could change before the close.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
9 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
News reports from September 24, 2026 show Brent prices around $102.25–$106.60 at various times, but none establish the 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00:00 PM EDT (21:00:00Z).
The current time is 20:10:38Z, before the 21:00:00Z resolution time, and none of the cited sources report the specific 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00 PM EDT. The reported prices are from other times or daily settlements and do not satisfy the contract's exact condition.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
medium confidence
buy YES
moved
8 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
A news article reports WTI November futures at $96.44 on Sep 24, 2026, but this is not the official settlement price.
The only source mentioning a WTI price on Sep 24 is a news article, which is not the required authority (CME Group). The official settlement price has not been provided, so the condition cannot be confirmed as met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides the Brent crude oil price at exactly 5:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2026. The evidence shows prices earlier in the day but not at the required time.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The evidence does not include any Pyth PYTHOIL candlestick data or WTI Oil 1-minute close prices at 9:00 PM and 9:15 PM EDT on August 30, 2026, which are required by the resolution criteria. Without the named authority's data, the condition cannot be determined.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
3 → 94
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No evidence in the supplied sources shows the exact 1-minute candlestick close price for Brent crude oil at the specified time. The closest mention is a futures price at 6:17 PM, which is after the deadline and not the required candlestick close.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The official settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 3, 2026 has not yet been published by CME/NYMEX; the trading day is still ongoing and none of the sources provide the required official settlement price.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
The deadline is October 2, 2026, and the current time is before the market close. No evidence shows the official settlement price for that date. All sources refer to earlier dates or intraday estimates, not the required exchange-published settlement figure.
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Fuel Price: Crude oil price drops after Monday’s spike ↗
2026-09-29
A market survey by DAILY POST showed that Brent and West Texas Intermediate, WTI crude declined to $105 and $92 per barrel, respectively, on Tuesday, after rising to as high as $107 per barrel on Monday. At the weekend, Brent and WTI crude blends jumped amid …
-
Brent crude oil price for October: Will it crash to $80 or surge to $120? ↗
2026-10-01
Crude oil prices have pulled back in the past two weeks as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent dropped to $97.7, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $90, also as Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West …
-
Oil's New Normal Is Higher Prices ↗
2026-09-30
Oil prices pulled back on Tuesday, reversing recent gains as investors weighed signs of export recovery by Middle Eastern producers against uncertainty surrounding the fate of the Iran war. Brent crude for November delivery fell 1.5% to trade at $103.72 per ba…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides a definitive WTI price on Sep 3, 2026 that is above $90.49. While some sources mention WTI above $90 or $90.71 on Sep 2, none confirm the exact price on the resolution date before the deadline.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No official NYMEX/CME daily settlement price for the WTI October 2026 contract on August 31, 2026 has been reported. The current time (16:41 UTC) is before the market close (18:30 UTC), and all cited prices are intraday or from non-authoritative sources.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources contain data from Pyth GOLD, the named authority for the 1-minute candlestick close prices needed to resolve the condition. The condition compares specific close prices at 8:45 AM and 9:00 AM EDT on September 3, 2026, but all evidence is general gold price news from various non-Pyth sources.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
All cited sources report intraday trading prices, not the official CME daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI futures contract on August 31, 2026. The market is still open, so the settlement price has not yet been published.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The deadline for the resolution condition (August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT) has not yet occurred; the current time is 15:10 UTC, which is before the relevant time. No evidence provides the specific 1-minute candlestick price from the Pyth feed or official exchange at the required time.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The current time is before the market close (18:30Z) and no official CME settlement price for October 2026 WTI on September 10, 2026, has been published or cited in the evidence.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
Multiple news reports on September 10, 2026 indicate that WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) traded above $100 during the day, with intraday quotes ranging from $100.10 to $101.48.
None of the sources cite the official CME settlement price; they only report intraday or trading levels. The deadline has not yet passed (current time 18:06 UTC, deadline 18:30 UTC), and the official settlement may not be published yet.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
News reports on September 10, 2026 state that WTI crude oil surpassed $100 per barrel intraday, while other same-day sources show WTI around $97.49–$97.79; no source provides the official daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 10, 2026.
Neither the official daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract nor a named authority's published figure for September 10, 2026 has been produced
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No source provides the official daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI contract from the designated authority on October 1, 2026. The cited prices are likely intraday or generic quotes and do not meet the required form.
-
Brent crude oil price for October: Will it crash to $80 or surge to $120? ↗
2026-10-01
Crude oil prices have pulled back in the past two weeks as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent dropped to $97.7, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $90, also as Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West …
-
Oil's New Normal Is Higher Prices ↗
2026-09-30
Oil prices pulled back on Tuesday, reversing recent gains as investors weighed signs of export recovery by Middle Eastern producers against uncertainty surrounding the fate of the Iran war. Brent crude for November delivery fell 1.5% to trade at $103.72 per ba…
-
Global oil prices fall ↗
2026-10-01
This morning, Brent crude fell to $96.69 per barrel and WTI dropped to $88.90, while the price of Azeri Light rose to $112.29 per barrel.…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
10 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No source provides the official CME/NYMEX daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 9, 2026. The available reports reference intraday or approximate levels, which do not meet the contract's evidence requirement.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
8 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No evidence shows the official NYMEX/CME Group settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 9, 2026. The sources mention various prices (e.g., $93.03, near $96, $94.44) but none are the required settlement figure from the designated authority.
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Malcy’s Blog – Oil price, Reabold Resources, Union Jack Oil, Touchstone Exploration & Finally ↗
2026-09-09
WTI (Oct) $93.03 +$1.55, Brent (Nov) $97.92 +92c, Diff -$4.89 -63c. USNG (Oct) $2.92 -6c, UKNG (Oct) 196.43p +12.32p, TTF (Oct) €78.915 +€4.76. Author @mgrahamwood Oil price Oil prices continue Read More...…
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WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis for September 9, 2026 ↗
2026-09-09
WTI crude oil appears to be breaking out of a lengthy symmetrical triangle pattern that has been forming since the March highs, with price recently pushing above the upper trend line near $90.00 to test the $94.44 area. The post WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis fo…
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Brent Crude Oil Price Today (September 9): Brent Surges Above $100, WTI Rises Near $96 As US-Iran Conflict Escalates; Check Latest Brent Crude & WTI Oil Rates Today ↗
2026-09-09
Brent Crude Oil Price Today (September 9): Brent crude futures rose $2.88, or 2.94%, to $100.80 per barrel by 1210 GMT, after touching an intraday high of $100.95. The benchmark reached its highest level in about six weeks. Earlier in the session, Brent was re…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided
15 of 57 candidates.