polyrag

Decided, but not yet settled

Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24657 Economics 5393 Crypto 5361 Politics 2636 Commodities 2523 Financials 2293 Climate and Weather 1645 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

all already yes already no include undecided

Rwanda vs Kenya: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-10-07 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The Rwanda vs Kenya international friendly match took place on October 5, 2026, and ended in a 0-0 draw, meaning no goals were scored.

Multiple credible sources (sources 3 and 4) explicitly state that the match ended 0-0, so no goals were scored, making 'Over 0.5 goals' impossible.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Ireland vs Austria
kalshi · closes 2026-10-03 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 92 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Ireland and Austria drew 2-2 on October 1, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.

Multiple sources confirm the match ended in a 2-2 draw, meaning Ireland did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Tampa Bay vs New York Y: Game 1 Total Runs — Over 3.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-25 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Game 1 of the doubleheader on September 22, 2026, ended with New York Yankees 2, Tampa Bay Rays 0, total runs = 2.

Multiple sources confirm the final score of Game 1 was 2-0, so total runs (2) do not exceed 3.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Goztepe Izmir vs Rizespor
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match ended in a 2-2 draw on September 20, 2026, based on multiple sources reporting the final score.

Multiple independent sources report the final score as 2-2, which means Rizespor did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The condition requires a Rizespor win, but the match was a draw.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Cincinnati defeated Miami (OH) 35-31 on September 19, 2026, as reported by multiple news outlets.

Multiple sources report that Cincinnati won the game 35-31, so Miami (OH) did not win the originally scheduled game. The evidence is consistent and from game-day reports, establishing the official final result.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Kansas City vs Pittsburgh: Spread — Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 11 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Kansas City Royals 6-5 on September 18, 2026

The box score shows Pittsburgh won by 1 run, which is not more than 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Boston vs Texas
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Boston beat Texas 4-3 on September 17, 2026, as reported by AP

The contract requires Texas to win the game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. Evidence shows Boston won 4-3, so the condition cannot be satisfied.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Detroit vs Chicago WS: Spread — Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 2 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Chicago White Sox defeated Detroit Tigers 3-1 in the game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026.

Multiple sources confirm the final score was Chicago 3, Detroit 1, meaning Detroit lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Atletico Nacional defeated Internacional de Bogota 3-2 on 16 September 2026, as reported by multiple sources.

Source [3] directly states the result: Nacional won 3-2. This is not a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Florida A&M vs Miami (FL): Spread — Miami (FL) wins by over 75.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-13 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 97 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The game occurred on September 10, 2026, with final score Miami 77, Florida A&M 7 (margin of 70 points).

Multiple sources confirm the final score was Miami 77, Florida A&M 7, a margin of 70 points, which is not more than 75.5 points required.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Paris FC vs Arsenal
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 98 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match Paris FC vs Arsenal on 30 September 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Multiple credible news sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, not an Arsenal win, so the condition for a Yes resolution is not met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Northwestern vs Indiana: Spread — Indiana wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.100 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 87 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Indiana 29, Northwestern 23 on September 25, 2026

Multiple credible sources report the final score as Indiana 29, Northwestern 23, which is a 6-point margin, not exceeding 9.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Philadelphia vs Washington: Total Runs — Over 3.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 97 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Washington Nationals 3-0 on September 16, 2026, as reported by multiple sources.

Multiple sources confirm the final score was 3-0, so the total runs (3) do not exceed 3.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Once Caldas vs Tolima: Total Goals — Over 1.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.100 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Once Caldas defeated Tolima 1-0 on September 16, 2026 in regulation time.

Multiple news sources report the final score as 1-0, meaning only 1 goal was scored, which is not over 1.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Baltimore vs New York M: Spread — Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The Orioles defeated the Mets 2–1 on September 15, 2026, a margin of 1 run.

Multiple credible sources (photo gallery caption and sports scoreboard) report a final score of Baltimore 2, New York 1, meaning Baltimore's margin of victory is 1 run, which is not greater than 1.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Los Angeles A vs Washington: Spread — Washington wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Washington Nationals defeated Los Angeles Angels 4-3 on Sept 11, 2026, a margin of 1 run.

The only relevant game result shows Washington won by exactly 1 run (4-3), which is not more than 1.5 runs. The condition therefore cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Atlanta vs San Antonio
kalshi · closes 2026-10-11 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 91 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Atlanta Hawks defeated the San Antonio Spurs 123-116 in a preseason game on October 8, 2026.

Multiple credible sources confirm that the game was played on October 8, 2026, and that the Atlanta Hawks won, meaning San Antonio did not win. The condition is therefore already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks: Spread — SEA Seahawks wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Seattle Seahawks defeated Los Angeles Chargers 30-23 on October 4, 2026, a margin of 7 points.

The condition requires Seattle to win by more than 9.5 points, but the actual margin was 7 points, so the condition is already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Texas St. vs San Diego St.
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 95 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

San Diego State defeated Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.

The game was played on October 3, 2026, within 48 hours of its scheduled start, and the official final result shows San Diego State won 31-29, so Texas State did not win.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bulgaria vs Estonia: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-10-01 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Bulgaria vs Estonia match ended 0-0 on 2026-09-29

Source [1] directly reports the match ended 0-0, meaning total goals = 0, which is not over 0.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ARI Cardinals vs SF 49ers: Spread — SF 49ers wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-29 · Sports
0.090 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 86 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

49ers beat Cardinals 36-30 on Sept 27, 2026, a margin of 6 points

Multiple sources report the final score as 49ers 36, Cardinals 30, meaning the 49ers won by 6 points, which is not over 7.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Baltimore vs New York Y: Game 2 Spread — New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window unknown

New York Yankees defeated Baltimore Orioles 6-3 in Game 2 of the doubleheader on September 25, 2026.

The condition requires New York Y to win by more than 3.5 runs, meaning by at least 4 runs. The reported 6-3 win is a margin of 3 runs, which is not over 3.5 runs.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Northwestern vs Indiana: Spread — Indiana wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Indiana defeated Northwestern 29-23 on September 25, 2026, a margin of 6 points.

The condition requires Indiana to win by more than 7.5 points, but the reported final score of 29-23 means Indiana won by only 6 points, so the condition is already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Turkiye vs France: Total Goals — Over 1.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-27 · Sports
0.100 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The match Turkiye vs France took place on September 25, 2026, and finished with France winning 1-0, with the only goal scored by Mbappé in the 54th minute.

Multiple news sources dated September 25, 2026 report a final score of 1-0, meaning exactly one goal was scored. The condition requires over 1.5 total goals (i.e., at least 2), which is not met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville St.
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no medium confidence buy NO moved 85 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State game was played on Sept 19, 2026; Jacksonville State won 31-27, as reported on Sept 20, 2026.

Georgia Southern did not win the game; Jacksonville State defeated Georgia Southern 31-27, so the Yes condition is already false.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bouzas Maneiro vs Salkova — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Dominika Salkova in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Round of 32 was played on or around 2026-09-16, and Dominika Salkova won 7-5, 6-1.

Multiple credible tennis news sources report that Dominika Salkova defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the match, so Bouzas Maneiro did not win. The condition is therefore already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Boston vs Texas: Total Runs — Over 7.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 92 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The game originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 ended with Texas Rangers 4, Boston Red Sox 2 on September 15, 2026.

Source [6] explicitly states the final score of the September 15 game as Rangers 4, Red Sox 2, totaling 6 runs, which is not over 7.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Houston vs Philadelphia: Spread — Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-12 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The contract is for a game on September 9, 2026. Evidence [11] shows a box score for a game on September 9, 2026, with the score Astros 6, Phillies 5. Thus Philadelphia lost, and certainly did not win by more than 3.5 runs.

The box score in evidence [11] shows Astros 6, Phillies 5 on September 9, 2026, which means Philadelphia lost. Therefore they did not win by over 3.5 runs. The condition is already impossible to be met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

St. Louis vs San Francisco: Spread — St. Louis wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-12 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 96 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6 on September 9, 2026

Multiple news sources report the final score as San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6, meaning St. Louis lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Edmonton Elks defeated the Calgary Stampeders 38-28 on September 7, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources on September 8 and 9, 2026.

Multiple authoritative news sources confirm that the Calgary Stampeders lost the game, so the condition cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Klubi 04 vs Kapylan Pallo
kalshi · closes 2026-09-09 · Sports
0.100 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 95 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The match Klubi 04 vs Kapylan Pallo on 7 September 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

All available sources consistently report the final score as 2-2, meaning Klubi 04 did not win. Since the condition requires a Klubi 04 win, it cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Natus Vincere vs. Team Nemesis
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.080 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 87 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Team Nemesis defeated Natus Vincere 2-1 in the BLAST Slam VIII group stage match on 30 September 2026.

Multiple sources confirm that the match occurred on the scheduled date and that Natus Vincere lost (Team Nemesis won 2-1), so the condition 'Natus Vincere wins' cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Milwaukee vs Philadelphia: Total Runs — Over 5.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-26 · Sports
0.070 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 97 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Milwaukee defeated Philadelphia 4-1 on September 23, 2026; combined runs = 5.

The reported final score is 4-1, so the two teams scored exactly 5 total runs, which is not more than 5.5. The over condition therefore cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.090 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 86 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The game between Cuenca and Mushuc Runa on September 20, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Multiple credible sources report that the match ended in a 1-1 draw, meaning Cuenca did not win. The condition requires a Cuenca win, which did not occur.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Rudes Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
kalshi · closes 2026-09-20 · Sports
0.940 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match between Rudes Zagreb and Slaven Belupo originally scheduled for September 18, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by multiple Croatian sports news outlets on September 18-19, 2026.

All available sources consistently report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, meaning Slaven Belupo did not win. The condition requires a Slaven Belupo win, which did not occur.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

G2 Ares vs. BakS eSports
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.940 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window unknown

BakS eSports defeated G2 Ares 2-1 in the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026 CS2 match on September 17, 2026.

All available sources show that BakS eSports won the match 2-1, so G2 Ares did not win the full match as required by the contract.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

San Diego vs Colorado: Spread — San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.080 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window closed

San Diego won 8-7 on September 14, 2026, a 1-run victory.

Multiple news sources report final score San Diego 8, Colorado 7, which is a win by 1 run, not more than 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Colorado vs Detroit
kalshi · closes 2026-09-15 · Sports
0.070 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT was played on that date, ending with Detroit Tigers 11, Colorado Rockies 7.

Multiple reliable sources confirm that the game was played on Sep 12, 2026 and that the Detroit Tigers defeated the Colorado Rockies 11-7, meaning Colorado did not win. The market resolves to No because the condition for Yes (Colorado wins) is impossible.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

San Diego vs San Francisco: Total Runs — Over 12.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-15 · Sports
0.090 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants on September 11, 2026 ended with a final score of 7-5, total runs = 12.

Multiple reliable sources (MLB.com, Baseball-Reference, ESPN, etc.) report the final score as Padres 7, Giants 5, for a total of 12 runs, which is not greater than 12.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Houston vs Philadelphia: Total Runs — Over 3.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-13 · Sports
0.070 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 91 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Houston Astros 2, Philadelphia Phillies 1 on September 10, 2026

Multiple sources report the final score as Houston 2, Philadelphia 1, totaling 3 runs, which is not more than 3.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Arizona vs Kansas City: Spread — Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-10 · Sports
0.070 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 92 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Kansas City Royals 5-4 on September 7, 2026.

Multiple news sources (sources 10, 12, 13) report the final score of the September 7 game as Arizona 5, Kansas City 4, a margin of 1 run. This is not more than 1.5 runs, so the condition is not met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Atlanta vs Philadelphia: Total Runs — Over 4.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-10 · Sports
0.080 6.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 6 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The game on September 7, 2026 ended with a final score of Philadelphia 1, Atlanta 0, for a total of 1 run.

Source [1] clearly states the final score of the September 7 game as 1-0, meaning only 1 total run, which is below 4.5. No conflicting evidence exists.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Team Yandex vs. PARIVISION
kalshi · closes 2026-10-10 · Sports
0.070 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 93 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Team Yandex defeated PARIVISION 2-1 in the BLAST Slam 2026 match on October 8-9, 2026.

Multiple independent news sources report that Team Yandex beat PARIVISION 2-1, establishing that PARIVISION did not win the full match.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Florida A&M vs Alabama St.: Spread — Alabama St. wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-12 · Sports
0.080 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Florida A&M defeated Alabama St. 28-27 on Oct 9, 2026, as reported by Sports Illustrated.

The reported final score shows Alabama St. lost, so they did not win by more than 6.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Russia vs Nigeria
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Sports
0.070 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 98 → 5 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The match took place on October 6, 2026, and ended in a 3-3 draw (per multiple sources).

Multiple credible sources report that the match ended in a 3-3 draw, meaning Russia did not win. No source indicates a Russian victory.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka
kalshi · closes 2026-10-05 · Sports
0.070 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Sri Lanka beat Bangladesh by 63 runs in the bronze medal match on October 3, 2026.

All sources confirm Sri Lanka won the match, so Bangladesh did not win as required by the condition.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Lyon vs Chelsea: Total Goals — Over 1.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.060 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The match ended in a 0-0 draw after regulation time, meaning 0 total goals.

Multiple news sources report that the Lyon vs Chelsea Women's Champions League match on Sep 30, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw, so the total goals (0) are not over 1.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bayern vs Manchester City
kalshi · closes 2026-09-24 · Sports
0.060 5.0c residual
already no medium confidence buy NO moved 92 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Women's Champions League group-stage match was played on September 22, 2026, and ended in a 2-2 draw after Bayern led 2-0 before City equalized.

Multiple credible reports from the match date state the game ended 2-2, so Bayern did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. One contradictory 2-1 report appears unreliable and is outweighed by the consistent 2-2 reports.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Houston vs Texas Tech: Spread — Texas Tech wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.070 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 86 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Texas Tech defeated Houston 28-26 on September 18, 2026, a margin of 2 points.

Multiple independent sources report that Texas Tech won 28-26, which is a 2-point margin, not greater than 3.5 points. The condition is therefore not met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Houston vs Texas Tech: Spread — Texas Tech wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.060 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 87 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Texas Tech defeated Houston 28-26 on September 18, 2026.

Texas Tech won by 2 points (28-26), which is not greater than 2.5 points; the condition requires a margin of at least 3 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

A's vs Tampa Bay: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.060 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The A's vs Tampa Bay game on September 16, 2026 ended with a score of Tampa Bay 4, A's 3, total 7 runs.

Multiple news sources report the final score of the September 16, 2026 game as Rays 4, Athletics 3, for a total of 7 runs, which is less than 8.5.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Al Jazira vs Al-Nasr
kalshi · closes 2026-09-12 · Sports
0.080 5.0c residual
already no medium confidence buy NO moved 85 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Al Jazira and Al Nasr played a 1-1 draw, as reported on 2026-09-11.

The only relevant evidence shows a draw between Al Jazira and Al Nasr, meaning Al Jazira did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The game appears to have been played as scheduled, so the condition for Yes cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Stuttgart vs Viking: Total Goals — Over 4.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-11 · Sports
0.060 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 94 → 5 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match ended with a score of 3-1 (Stuttgart vs Viking) on September 9, 2026, resulting in 4 total goals.

Multiple independent sources from the match date consistently report a final score of 3-1, totaling 4 goals, which does not exceed 4.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Al Hilal vs AL Suqoor
kalshi · closes 2026-09-10 · Sports
0.950 5.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Al Hilal lost 2-0 to Neom on September 7, 2026, not to AL Suqoor

All evidence shows Al Hilal played Neom on September 7, 2026, not AL Suqoor. Therefore, AL Suqoor cannot have won the specified game.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Munar vs Brooksby — Jaume Munar
kalshi · closes 2026-10-20 · Sports
0.050 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Munar lost to Brooksby in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round of 128 on or around 2026-10-08, and the match occurred (ball was played).

Source [1] explicitly states Munar lost to Brooksby, and sources [2] and [3] confirm Brooksby advanced to the second round, establishing that the match took place and Munar did not win.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

TB Buccaneers vs DAL Cowboys: Team Total — TB Buccaneers over 24.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-11 · Sports
0.960 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

The game was played on October 8, 2026, and the final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Dallas Cowboys 16.

Multiple sources confirm the Buccaneers scored exactly 24 points, which is not over 24.5. The condition requires over 24.5 points, so it has already been determined that the condition is not met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.960 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Multiple independent match reports show Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands drew 1-1 on September 30, 2026, after 90 minutes of regulation time.

Since the match ended as a tie after regulation, Solomon Islands did not win, so the condition is already resolved as No.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Eastleigh vs Southend
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.050 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 86 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The match between Eastleigh and Southend on September 30, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw.

Multiple reliable sources confirm the game ended in a 1-1 draw, so Southend did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Cape Verde vs Rwanda
kalshi · closes 2026-10-01 · Sports
0.050 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The match took place on September 29, 2026, and Rwanda defeated Cape Verde 2-1.

Multiple reliable news sources (Taarifa, Rushyashya, Umuryango) report that Rwanda won 2-1, so Cape Verde did not win after regular time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Georgia vs Ukraine: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-30 · Sports
0.050 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 93 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Georgia vs Ukraine UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 28, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, meaning no goals were scored.

Multiple reputable sources confirm that the match ended 0-0, so the condition of over 0.5 total goals cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Los Angeles A vs A's
kalshi · closes 2026-09-26 · Sports
0.050 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 96 → 4 wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Oakland Athletics defeated the Los Angeles Angels 9-7 on September 22, 2026, as reported by Medicine Hat News citing MLB scores.

The evidence shows the game was played on September 22 and the Los Angeles A (Angels) lost 9-7 to the A's. This meets the condition of a game within the two-day window. However, the source is not an official league publication, so the authority requirement is not strictly satisfied. Nonetheless, the reported score is consistent and no contrary evidence exists.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

New York M vs Texas: Total Runs — Over 4.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-27 · Sports
0.060 4.0c residual
already no medium confidence buy NO moved 96 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The final score of the New York Mets vs Texas Rangers game on September 24, 2026 was Texas 3, N.Y. Mets 1, for a total of 4 runs.

Source [4] directly reports the final score as Texas 3, N.Y. Mets 1, totaling 4 runs, which is not greater than 4.5. The game is over, so the condition cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest: Spread — Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-20 · Sports
0.090 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 92 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Miami (FL) defeated Wake Forest 33-20 on September 18, 2026, a margin of 13 points.

Multiple credible sources report the final score as Miami 33, Wake Forest 20, giving a margin of 13 points, which is less than the required 14.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

San Diego vs Colorado: Spread — Colorado wins by over 2.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.960 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 94 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Colorado lost to San Diego 9-2 on 2026-09-17, so the spread condition (Colorado wins by over 2.5 runs) was not met.

Multiple sources confirm the final score of the last game between San Diego and Colorado in 2026: San Diego 9, Colorado 2. Since Colorado lost, they did not win by over 2.5 runs, and no further games between these teams exist before the close date.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Elche vs Real Madrid: Spread — Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-09-17 · Sports
0.060 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Real Madrid defeated Elche 3-2 on 15 September 2026 in La Liga.

A 3-2 win is a one-goal margin, so Real Madrid did not win by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., by at least 2 goals). Since the match is over, the condition cannot be met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Istanbulspor vs Igdir — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-09-09 · Sports
0.960 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 95 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match ended with Istanbulspor 1 - Iğdır FK 2 on September 7, 2026, confirming a win for Iğdır FK, not a tie.

All available sources from September 7, 2026 report that Iğdır FK defeated Istanbulspor 2-1, meaning the match did not end in a tie.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Louisville vs Ole Miss: Spread — Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-08 · Sports
0.070 4.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 4 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Ole Miss defeated Louisville 41-38 on September 6, 2026.

All available sources report a final score of Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38, meaning Ole Miss won by 3 points, which is less than the required 6.5-point margin.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Las Vegas vs New Orleans
kalshi · closes 2026-09-29 · Sports
0.040 3.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 3 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Las Vegas Raiders defeated New Orleans Saints 35-27 on September 27, 2026.

All available evidence shows that Las Vegas won the game, so New Orleans did not win. The condition is already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Libya vs Botswana
kalshi · closes 2026-09-26 · Sports
0.970 3.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 96 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match between Libya and Botswana on September 24, 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw.

Multiple reliable sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, so Botswana did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Toronto vs Chicago: Spread — Chicago wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-25 · Sports
0.970 3.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 10 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Chicago Sky defeated Toronto Tempo 97-85 on September 22, 2026

The Chicago Sky beat the Toronto Tempo 97-85, a 12-point margin, which is not more than 13.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Tottenham vs Aston Villa: Spread — Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.970 3.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 96 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Aston Villa defeated Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 on September 19, 2026, in the Premier League match.

All sources report the final score as 3-2 to Aston Villa, meaning a victory margin of 1 goal, which is less than the required 1.5 goals.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Minnesota vs Los Angeles A: Spread — Los Angeles A wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.060 3.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 3 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Los Angeles Angels defeated Minnesota Twins 5-4 on September 17, 2026, a win by 1 run.

Source [8] directly reports the final score of the game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026: Angels 5, Twins 4. A win by 1 run does not exceed 1.5 runs, so the condition is already impossible.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Louisville vs Ole Miss: 2nd Half Spread — Ole Miss wins 2H by over 2.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-08 · Sports
0.080 3.0c residual
already no medium confidence buy NO moved 85 → 3 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The game was played on September 6, 2026, with final score Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38. Second-half scoring: Ole Miss 31, Louisville 32 (deduced from sources stating Louisville scored 32 in the second half and Ole Miss had 10 in the first half).

Multiple sources indicate Louisville scored 32 points in the second half and Ole Miss scored 10 in the first half, implying Ole Miss scored 31 in the second half. Thus Ole Miss lost the second half 31-32, failing to win by more than 2.5 points.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Santos vs Flamengo
kalshi · closes 2026-10-10 · Sports
0.025 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 94 → 2 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The Santos vs Flamengo Brasileirão Serie A match was played on October 8, 2026 and ended in a 2-2 draw after regulation time.

The condition required Flamengo to win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but the match ended 2-2, so Flamengo did not win. The game was played on the scheduled date and was not cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LA Rams vs PHI Eagles — Philadelphia
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.040 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 2 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Los Angeles Rams defeated Philadelphia Eagles 24-20 on October 4, 2026, as per the official final result on ESPN

The official final result from ESPN shows the Rams won; therefore Philadelphia is not the winner, making the condition impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech
kalshi · closes 2026-10-04 · Sports
0.030 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 86 → 2 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The game was played on October 2, 2026, and Pittsburgh defeated Virginia Tech with a final score of 35-33.

Multiple sources confirm that Pittsburgh won the game 35-33, so Virginia Tech did not win. The condition is already impossible to satisfy.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Baltimore vs New York M
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.030 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 2 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The Mets lost to the Orioles 7-5 in 11 innings on September 15, 2026.

Multiple independent sources (AP photo caption, news article, and a Newsweek report) confirm that the New York Mets lost to the Baltimore Orioles 7-5 on September 15, 2026, so the condition 'New York M wins' is false.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $77,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto · 3,732 at the offer
0.980 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires data from the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Aug 30, 2026, which has not yet occurred (current time is ~9:03 AM EDT). No evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source can establish the condition before the deadline.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $78,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.980 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The condition requires data from CF Benchmarks BRTI at exactly 7 AM EDT on Aug 30, 2026, which is still in the future; no evidence can establish that the condition has already been met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

San Diego vs Colorado: Spread — Colorado wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.990 1.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 98 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

San Diego Padres defeated Colorado Rockies 9-2 on September 17, 2026.

Multiple independent sources report the final score as San Diego 9, Colorado 2, meaning Colorado lost and therefore did not win by over 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided 15 of 57 candidates.