Decided, but not yet settled
Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.
Default
Everything
Elections
31277
Sports
24566
Economics
5477
Crypto
5320
Politics
2624
Commodities
2479
Financials
2273
Climate and Weather
1640
Entertainment
468
Science and Technology
266
Mentions
143
Hiding by default — is over half
the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.
all
already yes
already no
include undecided
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 9
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The Rwanda vs Kenya international friendly match took place on October 5, 2026, and ended in a 0-0 draw, meaning no goals were scored.
Multiple credible sources (sources 3 and 4) explicitly state that the match ended 0-0, so no goals were scored, making 'Over 0.5 goals' impossible.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
92 → 9
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Ireland and Austria drew 2-2 on October 1, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.
Multiple sources confirm the match ended in a 2-2 draw, meaning Ireland did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 9
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Game 1 of the doubleheader on September 22, 2026, ended with New York Yankees 2, Tampa Bay Rays 0, total runs = 2.
Multiple sources confirm the final score of Game 1 was 2-0, so total runs (2) do not exceed 3.5.
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Yankees fall to Rays in Game 2 of doubleheader as Tampa Bay clinches AL East title ↗
2026-09-23
The New York Yankees’ American League East hopes came to an end Tuesday night as the Tampa Bay Rays defeated New York 6-1 in Game 2 of a doubleheader at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the opening game 2-0 behind eight scoreless innings from Carlos Rodón, but …
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Scores and schedule for Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2026 ↗
2026-09-23
Tuesday’s Scoreboard MLB American League Toronto at Baltimore, ppd, rain. N.Y. Yankees 2 Tampa Bay 0 (1st game) Cleveland 3 Boston 2 Tampa Bay 6 N.Y. Yankees 1 (2nd game) Chicago White Sox 14 Kansas City 11 Houston 7 Seattle 0 Athletics 9 L.A. Angels 7 Nationa…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
5 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The match ended in a 2-2 draw on September 20, 2026, based on multiple sources reporting the final score.
Multiple independent sources report the final score as 2-2, which means Rizespor did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The condition requires a Rizespor win, but the match was a draw.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Cincinnati defeated Miami (OH) 35-31 on September 19, 2026, as reported by multiple news outlets.
Multiple sources report that Cincinnati won the game 35-31, so Miami (OH) did not win the originally scheduled game. The evidence is consistent and from game-day reports, establishing the official final result.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Kansas City Royals 6-5 on September 18, 2026
The box score shows Pittsburgh won by 1 run, which is not more than 1.5 runs.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 9
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Boston beat Texas 4-3 on September 17, 2026, as reported by AP
The contract requires Texas to win the game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. Evidence shows Boston won 4-3, so the condition cannot be satisfied.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Chicago White Sox defeated Detroit Tigers 3-1 in the game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026.
Multiple sources confirm the final score was Chicago 3, Detroit 1, meaning Detroit lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Atletico Nacional defeated Internacional de Bogota 3-2 on 16 September 2026, as reported by multiple sources.
Source [3] directly states the result: Nacional won 3-2. This is not a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
97 → 9
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The game occurred on September 10, 2026, with final score Miami 77, Florida A&M 7 (margin of 70 points).
Multiple sources confirm the final score was Miami 77, Florida A&M 7, a margin of 70 points, which is not more than 75.5 points required.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
93 → 8
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Bills defeated Rams 37-34 in overtime on Oct 12, 2026
Multiple credible news sources report that the Bills beat the Rams 37-34 in overtime on Oct 12, 2026, so the Rams did not win.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
98 → 8
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The match Paris FC vs Arsenal on 30 September 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Multiple credible news sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, not an Arsenal win, so the condition for a Yes resolution is not met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
87 → 8
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Indiana 29, Northwestern 23 on September 25, 2026
Multiple credible sources report the final score as Indiana 29, Northwestern 23, which is a 6-point margin, not exceeding 9.5 points.
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IU football: Three quick reasons the Hoosiers beat Northwestern, highlights, stats ↗
2026-09-26
BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — Indiana beat Northwestern by a final score of 29-23 on Saturday night at Memorial Stadium. Below are three quick reasons why the Hoosiers won, along with highlights and final stats. Indiana (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten) hits the road for the first tim…
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IU football passes its first real test of 2026 season with a win over Northwestern ↗
2026-09-26
Throughout Indiana’s 29-23 win against Northwestern on Friday, a growing sense of angst was palpable inside Merchants Bank Field at Memorial Stadium. Indiana did not look like its usual self. Penalties, missed throws and defensive failures piled up. Missed opp…
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Curt Cignetti drops insane "Pearl Harbor" line after Indiana squeaks by Northwestern ↗
2026-09-26
Defending champion Indiana survived a scare Friday night against Northwestern, eking out a 29-23 win in the 2026 Big Ten opener. The Hoosiers were nearly three touchdown favorites most of the week, but that never came close to hitting. In fact, for most of the…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
97 → 8
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Washington Nationals 3-0 on September 16, 2026, as reported by multiple sources.
Multiple sources confirm the final score was 3-0, so the total runs (3) do not exceed 3.5.
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Phillies Achieve Weird Offensive Feat in Win Over Nationals ↗
2026-09-17
With just 10 games left in the regular season for the Philadelphia Phillies, they were able to accomplish an impressive feat against the Washington Nationals. In a game that the Phillies really needed to win , they were able to shut out the Nationals by a scor…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
90 → 8
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Once Caldas defeated Tolima 1-0 on September 16, 2026 in regulation time.
Multiple news sources report the final score as 1-0, meaning only 1 goal was scored, which is not over 1.5.
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¡Otra vez sin respuestas! Tolima perdió ante Once Caldas ↗
2026-09-17
¡Otra vez sin respuestas! Tolima perdió ante Once Caldas jorjuela Mié, 16/09/2026 - 20:19 Fecha nodo Mié, 16/09/2026 - 20:19 Image /sites/default/files/imagenes/2026/09/%C2%A1Le%20respondieron%21%20Encapuchados%20desaf%C3%ADan%20a%20De%20la%20Espriella%20%2817…
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Once Caldas volvió a sonreír: Dayro Moreno apareció y venció al Tolima ↗
2026-09-17
El conjunto de Manizales se impuso 1-0 en el partido aplazado de la séptima fecha de la Liga BetPlay II-2026. Dayro Moreno marcó al minuto 7, precisamente el día de su cumpleaños número 41, y su anotación terminó siendo suficiente para que el equipo local regr…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
The Orioles defeated the Mets 2–1 on September 15, 2026, a margin of 1 run.
Multiple credible sources (photo gallery caption and sports scoreboard) report a final score of Baltimore 2, New York 1, meaning Baltimore's margin of victory is 1 run, which is not greater than 1.5.
-
📸 LATINO SPORTS GALLERY: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets ↗
2026-09-15
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, NY Photos captured by Miguel Maldonado/Latino Sports on Monday, September 14th – The Orioles (73-78) defeated the Mets (69-81) by a final score of 2-1 Follow us on Social Media for updates and e…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Washington Nationals defeated Los Angeles Angels 4-3 on Sept 11, 2026, a margin of 1 run.
The only relevant game result shows Washington won by exactly 1 run (4-3), which is not more than 1.5 runs. The condition therefore cannot be met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
91 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Atlanta Hawks defeated the San Antonio Spurs 123-116 in a preseason game on October 8, 2026.
Multiple credible sources confirm that the game was played on October 8, 2026, and that the Atlanta Hawks won, meaning San Antonio did not win. The condition is therefore already impossible to satisfy.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
90 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Seattle Seahawks defeated Los Angeles Chargers 30-23 on October 4, 2026, a margin of 7 points.
The condition requires Seattle to win by more than 9.5 points, but the actual margin was 7 points, so the condition is already impossible to satisfy.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
95 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
San Diego State defeated Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.
The game was played on October 3, 2026, within 48 hours of its scheduled start, and the official final result shows San Diego State won 31-29, so Texas State did not win.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Bulgaria vs Estonia match ended 0-0 on 2026-09-29
Source [1] directly reports the match ended 0-0, meaning total goals = 0, which is not over 0.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
86 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
49ers beat Cardinals 36-30 on Sept 27, 2026, a margin of 6 points
Multiple sources report the final score as 49ers 36, Cardinals 30, meaning the 49ers won by 6 points, which is not over 7.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
New York Yankees defeated Baltimore Orioles 6-3 in Game 2 of the doubleheader on September 25, 2026.
The condition requires New York Y to win by more than 3.5 runs, meaning by at least 4 runs. The reported 6-3 win is a margin of 3 runs, which is not over 3.5 runs.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
90 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Indiana defeated Northwestern 29-23 on September 25, 2026, a margin of 6 points.
The condition requires Indiana to win by more than 7.5 points, but the reported final score of 29-23 means Indiana won by only 6 points, so the condition is already impossible to satisfy.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The match Turkiye vs France took place on September 25, 2026, and finished with France winning 1-0, with the only goal scored by Mbappé in the 54th minute.
Multiple news sources dated September 25, 2026 report a final score of 1-0, meaning exactly one goal was scored. The condition requires over 1.5 total goals (i.e., at least 2), which is not met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
medium confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State game was played on Sept 19, 2026; Jacksonville State won 31-27, as reported on Sept 20, 2026.
Georgia Southern did not win the game; Jacksonville State defeated Georgia Southern 31-27, so the Yes condition is already false.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Dominika Salkova in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Round of 32 was played on or around 2026-09-16, and Dominika Salkova won 7-5, 6-1.
Multiple credible tennis news sources report that Dominika Salkova defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the match, so Bouzas Maneiro did not win. The condition is therefore already impossible to satisfy.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
92 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The game originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 ended with Texas Rangers 4, Boston Red Sox 2 on September 15, 2026.
Source [6] explicitly states the final score of the September 15 game as Rangers 4, Red Sox 2, totaling 6 runs, which is not over 7.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The contract is for a game on September 9, 2026. Evidence [11] shows a box score for a game on September 9, 2026, with the score Astros 6, Phillies 5. Thus Philadelphia lost, and certainly did not win by more than 3.5 runs.
The box score in evidence [11] shows Astros 6, Phillies 5 on September 9, 2026, which means Philadelphia lost. Therefore they did not win by over 3.5 runs. The condition is already impossible to be met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
96 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6 on September 9, 2026
Multiple news sources report the final score as San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6, meaning St. Louis lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Edmonton Elks defeated the Calgary Stampeders 38-28 on September 7, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources on September 8 and 9, 2026.
Multiple authoritative news sources confirm that the Calgary Stampeders lost the game, so the condition cannot be met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
95 → 7
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The match Klubi 04 vs Kapylan Pallo on 7 September 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
All available sources consistently report the final score as 2-2, meaning Klubi 04 did not win. Since the condition requires a Klubi 04 win, it cannot be met.
-
Klubi 04 2-2 Kapylan Pallo - Football Result | Monday, 07 September ... ↗
Klubi 04 2-2 Kapylan Pallo: final football result from Monday, 07 September 2026. View the full-time score, half-time result, competition and recent team form on Rezilta.…
-
Klubi 04 2-2 KaPa Kapylan Pallo final score - 7 September 2026, Ykkösliiga ↗
Klubi 04 vs KaPa Kapylan Pallo (2-2) on 7 September 2026 in Ykkösliiga - recap, highlights, detailed stats…
-
Klubi 04 Helsinki 2-2 Käpylän Pallo — Result, Stats & Highlights ... ↗
Klubi 04 Helsinki faced Käpylän Pallo in the Finnish Ykkosliiga on Monday, 7 September 2026 and the match finished 2-2. This page holds the final scoreline, goals, lineups and full match stats.…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
87 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Team Nemesis defeated Natus Vincere 2-1 in the BLAST Slam VIII group stage match on 30 September 2026.
Multiple sources confirm that the match occurred on the scheduled date and that Natus Vincere lost (Team Nemesis won 2-1), so the condition 'Natus Vincere wins' cannot be met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
97 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Milwaukee defeated Philadelphia 4-1 on September 23, 2026; combined runs = 5.
The reported final score is 4-1, so the two teams scored exactly 5 total runs, which is not more than 5.5. The over condition therefore cannot be met.
-
Scores and schedule for Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2026 ↗
2026-09-24
Wednesday’s Scoreboard MLB American League Baltimore 4 Toronto 2, 1st game Baltimore 4 Toronto 2, 2nd game N.Y. Yankees 9 Tampa Bay 2 Boston 1 Cleveland 0 Kansas City 5 Chicago White Sox 4 Athletics 7 L.A. Angels 3 Seattle 6 Houston 5 (10 innings) National Lea…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
86 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The game between Cuenca and Mushuc Runa on September 20, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Multiple credible sources report that the match ended in a 1-1 draw, meaning Cuenca did not win. The condition requires a Cuenca win, which did not occur.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
9 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The match between Rudes Zagreb and Slaven Belupo originally scheduled for September 18, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by multiple Croatian sports news outlets on September 18-19, 2026.
All available sources consistently report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, meaning Slaven Belupo did not win. The condition requires a Slaven Belupo win, which did not occur.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
BakS eSports defeated G2 Ares 2-1 in the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026 CS2 match on September 17, 2026.
All available sources show that BakS eSports won the match 2-1, so G2 Ares did not win the full match as required by the contract.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
90 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
San Diego won 8-7 on September 14, 2026, a 1-run victory.
Multiple news sources report final score San Diego 8, Colorado 7, which is a win by 1 run, not more than 1.5 runs.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT was played on that date, ending with Detroit Tigers 11, Colorado Rockies 7.
Multiple reliable sources confirm that the game was played on Sep 12, 2026 and that the Detroit Tigers defeated the Colorado Rockies 11-7, meaning Colorado did not win. The market resolves to No because the condition for Yes (Colorado wins) is impossible.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants on September 11, 2026 ended with a final score of 7-5, total runs = 12.
Multiple reliable sources (MLB.com, Baseball-Reference, ESPN, etc.) report the final score as Padres 7, Giants 5, for a total of 12 runs, which is not greater than 12.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
91 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Houston Astros 2, Philadelphia Phillies 1 on September 10, 2026
Multiple sources report the final score as Houston 2, Philadelphia 1, totaling 3 runs, which is not more than 3.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
92 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Kansas City Royals 5-4 on September 7, 2026.
Multiple news sources (sources 10, 12, 13) report the final score of the September 7 game as Arizona 5, Kansas City 4, a margin of 1 run. This is not more than 1.5 runs, so the condition is not met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 6
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The game on September 7, 2026 ended with a final score of Philadelphia 1, Atlanta 0, for a total of 1 run.
Source [1] clearly states the final score of the September 7 game as 1-0, meaning only 1 total run, which is below 4.5. No conflicting evidence exists.
-
📸 LATINO SPORTS GALLERY: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies ↗
2026-09-08
⚾ Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 📍Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 📸 Photos captured by Maz Adams/Latino Sports on Monday, September 7th – The Phillies (81-63) defeated the Braves (85-59) by a final score of 1-0 Follow us on Social Medi…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
93 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Team Yandex defeated PARIVISION 2-1 in the BLAST Slam 2026 match on October 8-9, 2026.
Multiple independent news sources report that Team Yandex beat PARIVISION 2-1, establishing that PARIVISION did not win the full match.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
90 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Florida A&M defeated Alabama St. 28-27 on Oct 9, 2026, as reported by Sports Illustrated.
The reported final score shows Alabama St. lost, so they did not win by more than 6.5 points.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
98 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
The match took place on October 6, 2026, and ended in a 3-3 draw (per multiple sources).
Multiple credible sources report that the match ended in a 3-3 draw, meaning Russia did not win. No source indicates a Russian victory.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Sri Lanka beat Bangladesh by 63 runs in the bronze medal match on October 3, 2026.
All sources confirm Sri Lanka won the match, so Bangladesh did not win as required by the condition.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The match ended in a 0-0 draw after regulation time, meaning 0 total goals.
Multiple news sources report that the Lyon vs Chelsea Women's Champions League match on Sep 30, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw, so the total goals (0) are not over 1.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
medium confidence
buy NO
moved
92 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Women's Champions League group-stage match was played on September 22, 2026, and ended in a 2-2 draw after Bayern led 2-0 before City equalized.
Multiple credible reports from the match date state the game ended 2-2, so Bayern did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. One contradictory 2-1 report appears unreliable and is outweighed by the consistent 2-2 reports.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
86 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Texas Tech defeated Houston 28-26 on September 18, 2026, a margin of 2 points.
Multiple independent sources report that Texas Tech won 28-26, which is a 2-point margin, not greater than 3.5 points. The condition is therefore not met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
87 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Texas Tech defeated Houston 28-26 on September 18, 2026.
Texas Tech won by 2 points (28-26), which is not greater than 2.5 points; the condition requires a margin of at least 3 points.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The A's vs Tampa Bay game on September 16, 2026 ended with a score of Tampa Bay 4, A's 3, total 7 runs.
Multiple news sources report the final score of the September 16, 2026 game as Rays 4, Athletics 3, for a total of 7 runs, which is less than 8.5.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
medium confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Al Jazira and Al Nasr played a 1-1 draw, as reported on 2026-09-11.
The only relevant evidence shows a draw between Al Jazira and Al Nasr, meaning Al Jazira did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The game appears to have been played as scheduled, so the condition for Yes cannot be met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
94 → 5
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The match ended with a score of 3-1 (Stuttgart vs Viking) on September 9, 2026, resulting in 4 total goals.
Multiple independent sources from the match date consistently report a final score of 3-1, totaling 4 goals, which does not exceed 4.5.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Al Hilal lost 2-0 to Neom on September 7, 2026, not to AL Suqoor
All evidence shows Al Hilal played Neom on September 7, 2026, not AL Suqoor. Therefore, AL Suqoor cannot have won the specified game.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Munar lost to Brooksby in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round of 128 on or around 2026-10-08, and the match occurred (ball was played).
Source [1] explicitly states Munar lost to Brooksby, and sources [2] and [3] confirm Brooksby advanced to the second round, establishing that the match took place and Munar did not win.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
9 → 92
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The game was played on October 8, 2026, and the final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Dallas Cowboys 16.
Multiple sources confirm the Buccaneers scored exactly 24 points, which is not over 24.5. The condition requires over 24.5 points, so it has already been determined that the condition is not met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
13 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Multiple independent match reports show Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands drew 1-1 on September 30, 2026, after 90 minutes of regulation time.
Since the match ended as a tie after regulation, Solomon Islands did not win, so the condition is already resolved as No.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
86 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The match between Eastleigh and Southend on September 30, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw.
Multiple reliable sources confirm the game ended in a 1-1 draw, so Southend did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The match took place on September 29, 2026, and Rwanda defeated Cape Verde 2-1.
Multiple reliable news sources (Taarifa, Rushyashya, Umuryango) report that Rwanda won 2-1, so Cape Verde did not win after regular time.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
93 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Georgia vs Ukraine UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 28, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, meaning no goals were scored.
Multiple reputable sources confirm that the match ended 0-0, so the condition of over 0.5 total goals cannot be met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
96 → 4
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Oakland Athletics defeated the Los Angeles Angels 9-7 on September 22, 2026, as reported by Medicine Hat News citing MLB scores.
The evidence shows the game was played on September 22 and the Los Angeles A (Angels) lost 9-7 to the A's. This meets the condition of a game within the two-day window. However, the source is not an official league publication, so the authority requirement is not strictly satisfied. Nonetheless, the reported score is consistent and no contrary evidence exists.
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Scores and schedule for Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2026 ↗
2026-09-23
Tuesday’s Scoreboard MLB American League Toronto at Baltimore, ppd, rain. N.Y. Yankees 2 Tampa Bay 0 (1st game) Cleveland 3 Boston 2 Tampa Bay 6 N.Y. Yankees 1 (2nd game) Chicago White Sox 14 Kansas City 11 Houston 7 Seattle 0 Athletics 9 L.A. Angels 7 Nationa…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
medium confidence
buy NO
moved
96 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The final score of the New York Mets vs Texas Rangers game on September 24, 2026 was Texas 3, N.Y. Mets 1, for a total of 4 runs.
Source [4] directly reports the final score as Texas 3, N.Y. Mets 1, totaling 4 runs, which is not greater than 4.5. The game is over, so the condition cannot be met.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
92 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Miami (FL) defeated Wake Forest 33-20 on September 18, 2026, a margin of 13 points.
Multiple credible sources report the final score as Miami 33, Wake Forest 20, giving a margin of 13 points, which is less than the required 14.5 points.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 94
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Colorado lost to San Diego 9-2 on 2026-09-17, so the spread condition (Colorado wins by over 2.5 runs) was not met.
Multiple sources confirm the final score of the last game between San Diego and Colorado in 2026: San Diego 9, Colorado 2. Since Colorado lost, they did not win by over 2.5 runs, and no further games between these teams exist before the close date.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Real Madrid defeated Elche 3-2 on 15 September 2026 in La Liga.
A 3-2 win is a one-goal margin, so Real Madrid did not win by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., by at least 2 goals). Since the match is over, the condition cannot be met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
13 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The match ended with Istanbulspor 1 - Iğdır FK 2 on September 7, 2026, confirming a win for Iğdır FK, not a tie.
All available sources from September 7, 2026 report that Iğdır FK defeated Istanbulspor 2-1, meaning the match did not end in a tie.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 4
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Ole Miss defeated Louisville 41-38 on September 6, 2026.
All available sources report a final score of Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38, meaning Ole Miss won by 3 points, which is less than the required 6.5-point margin.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 3
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The Viking vs Bayern Munich Champions League game on October 13, 2026 ended in a 3-3 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
All available sources report that the match ended in a 3-3 draw, meaning Bayern Munich did not win. The condition requires a Bayern win, so it cannot be met.
-
Viking and Bayern Deliver Thrilling 3-3 Draw in Stavanger Champions League Clash ↗
2026-10-13
Viking and Bayern Face Off in High-Scoring Champions League Encounter On October 13, 2026, Viking hosted Bayern Munich at their home ground in Stavanger, resulting in an electrifying 3-3 draw during the second round of the 2026/2027 UEFA Champions League group…
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Viking Hold Bayern Munich To Thrilling 3–3 Champions League Draw ↗
2026-10-13
Bayern Munich surrendered a two-goal deficit to take the lead, but Viking equalized in the 90th minute to secure a 3–3 draw in a thrilling Champions League league-phase match. The Norwegian side's early goals from Stensness and Christiansen were canceled out b…
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De último minuto, Viking FK le saca empate al Bayern Munich, en Champions League ↗
2026-10-14
Servicios AINIStavanger, Noruega, En un Lyse Arena de Stavanger eufórico, el Viking FK firmó una de las grandes gestas de esta fase de liga de la Champions League y le sacó el empate (3-3) al Bayern Munich en un partidazo. Los locales, en su primera experienci…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 3
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Las Vegas Raiders defeated New Orleans Saints 35-27 on September 27, 2026.
All available evidence shows that Las Vegas won the game, so New Orleans did not win. The condition is already impossible to satisfy.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
The match between Libya and Botswana on September 24, 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw.
Multiple reliable sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, so Botswana did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
10 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Chicago Sky defeated Toronto Tempo 97-85 on September 22, 2026
The Chicago Sky beat the Toronto Tempo 97-85, a 12-point margin, which is not more than 13.5 points.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
book pulled — not buyable
window closed
Aston Villa defeated Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 on September 19, 2026, in the Premier League match.
All sources report the final score as 3-2 to Aston Villa, meaning a victory margin of 1 goal, which is less than the required 1.5 goals.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 3
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Los Angeles Angels defeated Minnesota Twins 5-4 on September 17, 2026, a win by 1 run.
Source [8] directly reports the final score of the game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026: Angels 5, Twins 4. A win by 1 run does not exceed 1.5 runs, so the condition is already impossible.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
medium confidence
buy NO
moved
85 → 3
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The game was played on September 6, 2026, with final score Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38. Second-half scoring: Ole Miss 31, Louisville 32 (deduced from sources stating Louisville scored 32 in the second half and Ole Miss had 10 in the first half).
Multiple sources indicate Louisville scored 32 points in the second half and Ole Miss scored 10 in the first half, implying Ole Miss scored 31 in the second half. Thus Ole Miss lost the second half 31-32, failing to win by more than 2.5 points.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
94 → 2
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The Santos vs Flamengo Brasileirão Serie A match was played on October 8, 2026 and ended in a 2-2 draw after regulation time.
The condition required Flamengo to win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but the match ended 2-2, so Flamengo did not win. The game was played on the scheduled date and was not cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
90 → 2
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
Los Angeles Rams defeated Philadelphia Eagles 24-20 on October 4, 2026, as per the official final result on ESPN
The official final result from ESPN shows the Rams won; therefore Philadelphia is not the winner, making the condition impossible to satisfy.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
86 → 2
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The game was played on October 2, 2026, and Pittsburgh defeated Virginia Tech with a final score of 35-33.
Multiple sources confirm that Pittsburgh won the game 35-33, so Virginia Tech did not win. The condition is already impossible to satisfy.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy NO
moved
89 → 2
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The Mets lost to the Orioles 7-5 in 11 innings on September 15, 2026.
Multiple independent sources (AP photo caption, news article, and a Newsweek report) confirm that the New York Mets lost to the Baltimore Orioles 7-5 on September 15, 2026, so the condition 'New York M wins' is false.
-
MLB: Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets ↗
2026-09-16
Sep 15, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; Baltimore Orioles third base Coby Mayo (16) celebrates after hitting a three-run, in the park home run during the eleventh inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit:……
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
already no
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The resolution condition requires data from the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Aug 30, 2026, which has not yet occurred (current time is ~9:03 AM EDT). No evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source can establish the condition before the deadline.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
Last pass 37m ago · checked 25, decided
15 of 57 candidates.