polyrag

Decided, but not yet settled

Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24657 Economics 5393 Crypto 5361 Politics 2636 Commodities 2523 Financials 2293 Climate and Weather 1645 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

all already yes already no include undecided

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $77,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto · 3,732 at the offer
0.980 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires data from the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Aug 30, 2026, which has not yet occurred (current time is ~9:03 AM EDT). No evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source can establish the condition before the deadline.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $78,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.980 2.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The condition requires data from CF Benchmarks BRTI at exactly 7 AM EDT on Aug 30, 2026, which is still in the future; no evidence can establish that the condition has already been met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $83,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-09 · Crypto
0.100 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 87 → 9 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The resolution time (2026-10-09 17:00 EDT) is still in the future relative to the current time, and none of the retrieved sources report the CF Benchmarks BRTI average for that minute. The evidence is about unrelated indices and markets, not this contract's condition.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price range on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $85,750 to 85,999.99
kalshi · closes 2026-10-05 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy YES moved 4 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

No source directly states the BTC price at 5pm EDT on Oct 5, 2026 within the $85,750–$85,999.99 range. Articles mention prices around $85,000–$87,000 but lack the precise time and specificity needed.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $79,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-09 · Crypto
0.100 9.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy NO moved 92 → 9 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

News reports on September 9, 2026 indicate Bitcoin trading around $78,989 (DiarioBitcoin) and $78,419 at 06:43 UTC (Ajansflash), both below $79,300, but these are approximate exchange/news prices, not the exact official CF Benchmarks BRTI 60-second average for 5:59:00–5:59:59 EDT.

No source in the evidence is the named authority, CF Benchmarks, and none provides the 60 official BRTI readings or their average for the required one-minute window. Approximate news-reported prices around the time do not establish the contract condition or its failure under the required form.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — $81,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

None of the provided sources contain any data from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) for September 3, 2026, so the resolution condition cannot be verified.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $81,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The evidence reports BTC prices around $80,000-$81,000 during the day, but none cite the exact price at 5pm EDT on Sep 3, 2026, as required by the resolution condition.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 10am EDT? — $78,100 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution time (10:00 AM EDT on September 3, 2026) has not yet occurred; no evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source provides the required 60-second average of the BRTI index at that time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 9am EDT? — $78,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' BRTI is provided; the only price data is from a non-authoritative source (Armenian news site) at a different time (10:30 local), which does not meet the resolution criteria.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 8am EDT? — $77,700 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (8:00 AM EDT on September 3, 2026) has not yet passed, and none of the provided sources contain the required CF Benchmarks BRTI 60-second average at that time. No evidence establishes whether the condition is met or cannot be met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $78,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The condition refers to a future time (2pm EDT on Aug 31, 2026) which has not yet occurred. The current time (17:42 UTC) is before the deadline, so no evidence can establish the price at that time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 1pm EDT? — $78,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (1 PM EDT on Aug 31, 2026) has not yet passed; current time is 12:40 PM EDT. No evidence from CF Benchmarks' BRTI index is provided, and the condition requires the 60-second average at that specific time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $78,200 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires the average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI at 6 AM EDT on Aug 31, 2026, which has not yet occurred (current time is 5:32 AM EDT). No evidence from the named authority is provided.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — $78,700 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.910 9.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

unparseable adjudication

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH 15 min · $2,705.13 target — Target Price: $2,705.13
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Crypto
0.914 8.6c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The supplied evidence contains no information about ETH prices, CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, or the relevant 8:30 PM and 8:45 PM EDT times on October 1, 2026, so the resolution condition cannot be established either way.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC 15 min · $78,585.41 target — Target Price: $78,585.41
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.915 8.5c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence confirms that Bitcoin's price reached exactly $78,585.41 on a 15-minute chart before the deadline. The closest mention is an intraday high of $78,960 (source 1), but it does not specify the timeframe or exact price target.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH 15 min · $2,422.72 target — Target Price: $2,422.72
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.917 8.3c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence contains any CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI price data for August 31, 2026, which is required to compute the averages specified in the resolution criteria.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $83,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-13 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The current time is 20:26:58Z, before the 21:00:00Z resolution deadline, and no evidence from CF Benchmarks on the BRTI average at 5 PM EDT has been provided.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $84,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-07 · Crypto
0.100 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 8 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (5pm EDT on Oct 7, 2026) has not yet passed as of the current time (19:22:45Z), and no evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source establishes the required average.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 1am EDT? — $86,200 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 1 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The condition refers to a period that has not yet occurred (the minute before 1 AM EDT on Oct 2, 2026, which is still in the future relative to the current time). Therefore, it cannot be established that the condition has been met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $85,250 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-23 · Crypto
0.090 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 8 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution time (5 PM EDT / 21:00 UTC on Sep 23, 2026) has not yet occurred as of the current time (16:49 UTC), and no evidence supplies the official CF Benchmarks BRTI average for that minute.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $84,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES moved 6 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence in the retrieved sources reports the actual CF Benchmarks BRTI average at the deadline, so the resolution condition is not established either way.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 7, 2026 at 12pm EDT? — $78,900 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-07 · Crypto
0.090 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 87 → 8 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The current time is 15:56:26Z, about 3.5 minutes before the 16:00:00Z deadline, so the settlement window has not even completed; moreover, none of the evidence cites CF Benchmarks BRTI data for Sep 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — $80,800 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires the average of CF Benchmarks BRTI over the minute before 4:00 PM EDT on September 3, 2026. As of the current time (15:25 EDT), that minute has not yet occurred, so the condition cannot be determined. No evidence from CF Benchmarks is provided.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 1pm EDT? — $80,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (1 PM EDT on September 3, 2026) has not yet passed; the current time is before that, so the condition cannot be resolved yet. No CF Benchmarks BRTI data for the relevant minute is provided.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $77,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution requires the CF Benchmarks BRTI average over the final minute before 7 AM EDT on Sep 3, 2026, and no supplied source provides that official BRTI value. The only same-day price is from a non-authoritative outlet and does not establish the contract's exact condition.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 8am EDT? — $78,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.920 8.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' BRTI; only third-party news articles which are disqualified per resolution criteria.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC 15 min · $77,758.96 target — Target Price: $77,758.96
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.922 7.8c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The current time (2026-08-31T05:23:42Z = 1:23:42 AM EDT) is before the 1:30 AM EDT deadline, so the 60-second average before 1:30 AM is not yet available. No actual BRTI index values from CF Benchmarks are provided in the evidence, so the comparison cannot be made.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $82,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-09 · Crypto
0.080 7.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy NO moved 85 → 7 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from the named authority (CF Benchmarks) has been provided, and the deadline has passed. Without the official BRTI average, it is impossible to determine whether the condition was met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price range on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $2,440 to 2,479.99
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution time (5:00 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026) has not yet occurred, and no sources provide the required CF Benchmarks ERTI data for that specific window.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $81,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Crypto
0.080 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 93 → 7 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The current time is before the deadline (20:23:16Z vs 21:00:00Z), and the evidence contains no CF Benchmarks BRTI data for the relevant minute. The cited articles concern XRP prediction markets and general BTC price reports, not the specific BTC BRTI average at 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5am EDT? — $85,900 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES moved 6 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

no sources retrieved

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $2,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-20 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (5 PM EDT on September 20, 2026) has not yet passed, and no evidence of CF Benchmarks' ERTI average exists in the provided sources.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $2,530 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 2 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The deadline (5pm EDT = 21:00 UTC) has not yet passed; the provided evidence is from earlier on Sep 18 and does not give the exact price at the required time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $76,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-15 · Crypto
0.080 7.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy NO moved 91 → 7 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence in the supplied sources addresses the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for the specified time. All sources are unrelated (news articles, analysis, lotto results, event pages).

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $76,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-15 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution deadline (2 PM EDT on Sep 15, 2026) has not yet occurred, so no official CF Benchmarks average is available. All provided sources are either unrelated, from non-authoritative outlets, or refer to earlier times.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,250 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution deadline (5 PM EDT on Sep 14, 2026) has not yet passed; the required CF Benchmarks data does not exist.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 9am EDT? — $77,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-10 · Crypto
0.080 7.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy NO moved 91 → 7 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline has passed, but none of the sources provide the official CF Benchmarks BRTI average for the 60 seconds before 9:00 AM EDT on Sep 10, 2026, so the outcome cannot be determined from the evidence.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 12pm EDT? — $2,495 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-08 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 11 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition is the simple average of sixty one-second CF Benchmarks ERTI prices, which must be reported by CF Benchmarks in the specified form. The supplied news articles cite various approximate prices but do not include the required official CF Benchmarks value.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 3pm EDT? — $80,700 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline has not yet been reached; the event is still in the future. No evidence provides the required BRTI average at the specified time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $78,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The sources describe BRTI and reference a conditional Coinbase range rule, but none provide the actual sixty-second BRTI average at 6:00 AM EDT on Aug 31, 2026, so the contract's named authority has not established the outcome.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 6pm EDT? — $78,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution time (6:00 PM EDT on Aug 30, 2026) has not yet occurred as of the current time (21:45:55Z / 5:45:55 PM EDT), and no CF Benchmarks BRTI 60-second average data has been provided. The cited news articles report approximate BTC prices from other sources, which are not authoritative for this contract.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 12pm EDT? — $78,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source provides the BTC price at exactly 12pm EDT on Aug 30, 2026; the evidence shows varying prices at unspecified times, so the condition cannot be confirmed as met or not met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $77,250 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires the average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI at 5 PM EDT on August 30, 2026. The current time is 4:41 AM EDT on the same day, so the event has not yet occurred. No evidence provides the required index value at the specified time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC 15 min · $78,005.07 target — Target Price: $78,005.07
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.931 6.9c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' BRTI data is provided; the required price averages cannot be determined from the available sources.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $82,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Crypto
0.070 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 86 → 6 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence provided includes the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for Oct 8, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. The deadline has not passed (current time is 20:49 UTC on Oct 8), and the relevant data is not in the sources.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $85,750 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-05 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline is 2026-10-05T21:00:00Z and the current time is 2026-10-05T20:59:38Z, so the minute over which the average is computed has not yet fully elapsed. Furthermore, no source from the named authority (CF Benchmarks) has been cited; all provided evidence is from third-party news outlets.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $83,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-29 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from the named authority (CF Benchmarks) or any source providing the required 60-second average has been submitted. The evidence consists only of unrelated news, a Korean article mentioning Kalshi's use of CF indices, and other non-relevant content. The deadline has not yet passed (current time is 20:59:23Z, 37 seconds before the expiration at 21:00:00Z).

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 16, 2026 at 8am EDT? — $76,100 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-16 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES moved 4 → 92 evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

unparseable adjudication

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $76,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-15 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The market resolves based on a future event (2:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026), and the current time is before that deadline. No evidence of the required BRTI average exists in the provided sources.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The current time is 17:56 UTC, which is 1:56 PM EDT — before the 5:00 PM EDT deadline. No evidence shows the BRTI 60-second average for that time, and the supplied sources are unrelated to BTC or CF Benchmarks' BRTI.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 6, 2026 at 9pm EDT? — $79,900 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-07 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

No source provides the CF Benchmarks BRTI value or its 60-second average for the window ending 9:00 PM EDT on September 6, 2026; the cited articles discuss XRP contracts or Bitcoin price on a different date.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price on Sep 3, 2026 at 6pm EDT? — $2,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (6 PM EDT on Sep 3, 2026) has not yet passed; the 60-second average window is still ongoing. No evidence from the authorized source (CF Benchmarks ERTI) is provided.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 1pm EDT? — $80,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence shows the BTC price exactly at 1pm EDT on Sep 3, 2026. The only source showing a price above $80,500 is from 11:02 EDT, which is before the specified time. Without a direct quotation at the exact minute, the resolution condition cannot be confirmed.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 12pm EDT? — $80,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source from CF Benchmarks (the named authority for BRTI) is provided. The only Bitcoin price data (source [1]) is from crypto.news and shows ~$77,700, well below the threshold, but it is not an authoritative source per the contract. Additionally, the resolution time (12:00 PM EDT) has not yet arrived (current time is ~11:53 AM EDT), so the 60-second average cannot be computed yet.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 10am EDT? — $78,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution deadline (10:00 AM EDT on September 3, 2026) has not yet occurred; no source provides the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for the 60 seconds before that time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 3pm EDT? — $78,700 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires the average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI at 3 PM EDT on August 31, 2026, but the current time (18:32 UTC) is before that deadline, so the event has not yet occurred. No evidence from the named authority is available.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $78,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The condition refers to the average of BRTI readings for the minute before 6:00 AM EDT on August 31, 2026, which has not yet occurred (current time is 5:51 AM EDT). None of the provided sources contain the required CF Benchmarks BRTI data for that specific minute.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 4am EDT? — $78,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence provides the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) average at 4 AM EDT on August 31, 2026, which is the sole authoritative source required by the contract. All cited prices are from other sources and times, so the condition cannot be confirmed or denied.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 30, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $78,700 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.940 6.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (2 PM EDT on Aug 30, 2026) has not yet passed (current time is 17:48 UTC, which is before 18:00 UTC). No evidence from CF Benchmarks' BRTI for the required 60-second average has been provided; all cited prices are from other sources.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH 15 min · $2,491.53 target — Target Price: $2,491.53
kalshi · closes 2026-08-30 · Crypto
0.941 5.9c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' ETHUSDRTI is provided; all sources are unrelated to the ETH price index.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — $82,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-12 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES moved 10 → 94 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

All provided sources discuss XRP prediction markets, not Bitcoin. No source contains the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for Bitcoin on the specified date and time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price range on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $82,000 to 82,499.99
kalshi · closes 2026-10-09 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 94 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source establishes the BRTI-based Bitcoin average at the resolution time, so the condition is not confirmed as met or unmet. The market's 94% bid/ask probability is not evidence of the actual price.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $81,750 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Crypto
0.070 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 5 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The current time is before the 5 PM EDT deadline, and no official CF Benchmarks BRTI data for the required 60-second window has been supplied, so the outcome cannot yet be established.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 11am EDT? — $86,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Crypto
0.060 5.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy NO moved 94 → 5 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from the designated authority (CF Benchmarks) or any source showing the exact BRTI average for the required minute has been provided. General price commentary is insufficient.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Oct 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $84,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-01 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 94 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (5 PM EDT on October 1, 2026) has not yet passed at the current time (20:41:30Z), and no official CF Benchmarks data for that minute has been presented. Therefore, the condition cannot be determined as already met or not met.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $85,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-23 · Crypto
0.070 5.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy NO moved 91 → 5 evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

unparseable adjudication

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $84,400 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 10 → 94 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source provides the required average of the Bitcoin Real-Time Index for the specified time. The deadline has passed, but without the official publication, the condition cannot be determined.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $75,000 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-11 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution date (Sep 11, 2026) is in the future; no evidence provides the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for that time.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $79,250 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' BRTI is provided; the deadline (5 PM EDT) has not yet passed, and none of the supplied sources contain the required index data.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price on Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $2,430 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (5 PM EDT on September 3, 2026) has not yet passed, and none of the provided sources contain the required CF Benchmarks' ERTI 60-second average data. No authoritative determination can be made.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 10am EDT? — $78,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is provided; the only price data comes from other sources and times, so the exact average at 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 3, 2026 cannot be determined.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 9am EDT? — $77,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution condition requires the average of CF Benchmarks BRTI readings at 9:00 AM EDT on Sep 3, 2026, which has not yet occurred (current time is 8:37 AM EDT). No evidence from CF Benchmarks is provided.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $77,500 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No provided source contains the actual BRTI 60-second average from CF Benchmarks at 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 3, 2026; all evidence is either generic index descriptions or pages restating the condition but not the realized price.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ETH price on Aug 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $2,450 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence provides the official CF Benchmarks ERTI average for the 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on Aug 31, 2026. All cited prices are from third-party sources (crypto.news, etc.) which are explicitly disqualified per the resolution criteria.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $78,300 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source provides the CF Benchmarks BRTI average price for August 31, 2026 at 2 PM EDT; the contract requires this specific authority's data.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 12pm EDT? — $78,200 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), the required authority, has been provided; news articles mention prices near $78,000 but are not authoritative for resolution.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $78,100 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution criteria require the simple average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) for the sixty seconds before 7 AM EDT on Aug 31, 2026. None of the provided sources cite CF Benchmarks or their BRTI data; they report prices from other sources like Armenian news (b24.am), Turkish news (gazetekritik), etc. Therefore, the condition is not established by the available evidence.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 5am EDT? — $77,800 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution time (4:59-5:00 AM EDT on August 31, 2026) has not yet occurred; current time is 4:49:51 AM EDT. No evidence from CF Benchmarks BRTI is available.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 2am EDT? — $77,600 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Crypto
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The resolution requires the simple average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI over 60 seconds before 2 AM EDT on Aug 31, 2026. None of the provided sources are from CF Benchmarks or give that specific average. The deadline has not yet passed.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided 15 of 57 candidates.