Decided, but not yet settled
Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.
Default
Everything
Elections
31277
Sports
24657
Economics
5393
Crypto
5361
Politics
2636
Commodities
2523
Financials
2293
Climate and Weather
1645
Entertainment
466
Science and Technology
219
Mentions
144
all
already yes
already no
include undecided
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources contain weather data or any information about the temperature in Los Angeles on October 12, 2026. The market cannot be resolved without evidence from The Weather Company.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy NO
moved
87 → 9
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source establishes the actual official precipitation measurement at CLIMSY in New Orleans on October 9, 2026; the evidence only indicates forecasts of possible storms or rain, which does not settle the contract.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources mention Seattle's temperature on Oct 6, 2026, or cite The Weather Company, so the resolution condition cannot be evaluated.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
1 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company or any other source provides the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026. The condition cannot be confirmed or denied.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources contain the official Weather Company precipitation report for CLICMH in Columbus on October 10, 2026. The day is still ongoing, so no conclusion can be drawn from the available evidence.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy NO
moved
93 → 8
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the supplied documents report precipitation at KDTW in Detroit on September 30, 2026, or cite the Weather Company's official value. The condition therefore cannot be confirmed as met or not met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
5 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the retrieved evidence mentions the Los Angeles temperature on September 29, 2026, or references The Weather Company's data for CLILAX. There is no information to determine whether the condition has been met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
A prediction-market page reports that official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily maximum of 88°F on September 22, 2026, but no source from The Weather Company is provided.
The only directly relevant evidence is an 88°F reading attributed to the NWS, not to The Weather Company, and it appears on a prediction-market page rather than in The Weather Company's official non-preliminary data. The contract names The Weather Company as the sole authority, so this does not establish the resolution condition.
-
Highest temperature in Miami on September 22? Trading Odds ... ↗
**The dominant 100% market-implied odds on 88-89°F reflect official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a daily maximum of 88°F on September 22, 2026.** Forecast models and NWS guidance had consistently…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources confirm that it rained in Houston on September 15, 2026. Sources either refer to other dates, other locations, or are unrelated.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 92
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
The provided evidence consists of unrelated weather forecasts and reports from other locations; none establish the maximum temperature in Chicago on Oct 9, 2026 per The Weather Company.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The day is still ongoing (current time 2026-09-24T21:53:01Z) and no official data from The Weather Company for Chicago (CLIMDW) on Sep 24, 2026 has been provided. The condition cannot be confirmed or denied yet.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the required authority (The Weather Company) has been provided. The sources are either forecasts for other cities, news articles unrelated to temperature, or forecasts for Seattle that are not official final data. The market is still open and the day has not yet concluded.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the Weather Company or weather.com/kalshi reporting precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami on August 31, 2026. All provided sources are forecasts, general weather reports for other locations, or unrelated news. The condition requires official data from the named authority, which is absent.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence in the provided sources mentions Miami, Florida, or The Weather Company's temperature data for August 30, 2026. All sources are about weather in other global locations, and the official authority has not yet published the required data.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the retrieved sources address precipitation at CLILAX in Los Angeles on Oct 10, 2026, and none cite the Weather Company's official CLILAX data.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 92
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company or any authoritative source shows the actual maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 6, 2026. The only possibly relevant source (source 5) is a forecast, not a recorded value.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy NO
moved
92 → 6
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the Weather Company or any source providing the official precipitation measurement at CLIMSY in New Orleans on October 5, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 91
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No evidence shows the actual maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 3, 2026, from the required source (The Weather Company). Only indirect reports of heat advisories exist, which do not establish the specific temperature value.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 92
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the evidence references New York City, September 21, 2026, or The Weather Company's official temperature reading, so the condition cannot be established from the provided materials.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy NO
moved
88 → 5
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the Weather Company (the named authority) is present in the sources. All provided documents are unrelated to the required measurement or are forecasts and news articles that do not constitute the official final value.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
9 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence in the supplied sources addresses the maximum temperature in Minneapolis on October 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. The day is still ongoing, and no final data from the named authority is available.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No retrieved evidence establishes the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Sep 15, 2026, let alone that The Weather Company reported it as 81–82°F. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, so the condition is undecided.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy NO
moved
86 → 5
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence in the supplied documents addresses the maximum temperature in Los Angeles on September 15, 2026, from any source, let alone the required authority (The Weather Company).
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company, the required authority, regarding the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Sep 8, 2026 has been provided. All sources are about other locations or forecasts, not the actual recorded temperature from the specified source.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources contain temperature data for New York City from The Weather Company, the named authority. The deadline has not yet passed, so the condition remains unresolved.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
medium confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
The only claim that August 2026 was the hottest ever comes from an Indian news outlet citing IMD data, not from the global authoritative sources (e.g., NASA, NOAA, Copernicus) that would definitively establish the condition. Other sources are regional or irrelevant.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources contain temperature data for New York City on August 31, 2026 from The Weather Company, which is the required authority for resolution.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence provides the maximum temperature in Phoenix on Oct 8, 2026, from The Weather Company, as required by the resolution criteria.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 92
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
All retrieved sources concern other locations or general seasonal averages, not the actual Oct 1, 2026 high temperature in Oklahoma City from the named authority. The deadline has not yet passed, so the condition is not established either way.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the required authority (The Weather Company) or any source reporting the maximum temperature at Boston CLIBOS on October 1, 2026. The day is still ongoing and the final data is not yet available.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
3 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides The Weather Company's official maximum temperature for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Sep 28, 2026. The deadline has not passed, so the outcome is not yet determined.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
1 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company or any other source provides the actual maximum temperature at San Francisco (CLISFO) for September 23, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 90
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the required authority (Weather Company via weather.com/kalshi) shows actual precipitation at CLICMH on September 23, 2026. All provided sources are either forecasts, about other locations, or unrelated.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source in the evidence reports the actual precipitation total at CLIDFW for September 21, 2026, and none is the required Weather Company official final value. Therefore the condition is not established either way.
-
Dallas/Fort Worth Climatology - National Weather Service ↗
Dallas/Fort Worth Climatology Climate Narrative A brief overview of the climate in North Texas. Daily Summary (CLIDFW) High, low, and average temperature, precipitation, snowfall, heating and cooling degree days, wind data, sky cover data, relative humidity, s…
-
National Weather Service ↗
THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 87 101 2005 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 66 45 1983 SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 21 2026.....SUNRISE 716 AM CDT SUNSET 726 PM CDT SEPTEMBER 22 2026.....SUNRISE 716 AM CDT …
-
National Weather Service ↗
NOAA National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
13 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the Weather Company's official data for CLIPHL on September 17, 2026 is present. All sources are unrelated forecasts, news, or non-Philadelphia weather reports.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company's official final data for CLILAX on Sep 16, 2026, has been provided. The available sources (NWS, AccuWeather, Weather Spark) are not the named authority, and the Polymarket summary is not authoritative.
-
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16? ↗
Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily maximum of 78-79°F on September 16, anchoring the market's decisive consensus. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology for the Los Angeles Basin…
-
Los Angeles 2026 Past Weather (California, United States) - Weather Spark ↗
Raw: KLAX 162253Z 24013KT 10SM FEW020 24/16 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP138 T02440156 $ This report shows the past weather for Los Angeles, providing a weather history for 2026. It features all historical weather data series we have available, including the Los Angeles t…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
12 → 94
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The provided evidence consists of weather forecasts and reports for various cities worldwide, but none concern Miami, Florida, or come from The Weather Company. There is no information about the maximum temperature in Miami on September 11, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the cited documents address the Miami high temperature for September 9, 2026, and none are from The Weather Company, so the resolution condition is not established either way.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The evidence consists of weather reports for other locations and unrelated articles; no source establishes the CLIOKC precipitation value for October 13, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
Sources report a Southern California heat wave around Oct 5-7, 2026, with record highs in Los Angeles (e.g., 104°F downtown on Oct 5), but none state the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Oct 7, 2026.
The evidence describes a heat wave and record temperatures around Oct 5-7, 2026, but none of the sources provide the official final maximum temperature for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Therefore the condition is not established.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
13 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the named authority (The Weather Company) regarding the maximum temperature in New York City on October 7, 2026, has been provided.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence in the supplied sources shows the actual recorded maximum temperature at San Antonio on October 1, 2026, from The Weather Company or any other authoritative source. The condition cannot be assessed without that data.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
5 → 94
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source from The Weather Company or any other authority provides the actual maximum temperature in Miami for September 23, 2026. The day is not yet over at the current time (22:13Z), and the NWS page only gives climate normals, not today's reading. Therefore, the condition cannot be confirmed as already met or impossible.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 94
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources contain The Weather Company's official maximum temperature for New York City on September 22, 2026. The only NYC-related item is a warnings/advisories notice, which does not state the daily maximum temperature.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 96
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No retrieved source provides the official Weather Company CLISAT precipitation total for September 18, 2026. The available sources are forecasts or unrelated weather articles, so the resolution condition is not established.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
1 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from the required authority (The Weather Company) about Chicago's maximum temperature on the specified date has been submitted; all sources are for other locations or unrelated topics.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
3 → 94
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence in the supplied sources addresses the maximum temperature at Chicago CLIMDW on September 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Without such evidence, the condition cannot be confirmed as met or not met.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
1 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
All 16 sources are either about other locations (Elche, Mumbai, Ohio, etc.), general weather news, or unrelated topics. No source provides precipitation data for CLIHOU in Houston from The Weather Company for September 7, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 93
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company regarding the maximum temperature in Minneapolis on September 7, 2026 has been provided. All sources are either forecasts for other locations or unrelated alerts. The day is still ongoing, so the condition cannot be determined yet.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
None of the provided sources are from The Weather Company, the required authority, nor do they reference the CLILAX station or Los Angeles temperatures in Fahrenheit.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
所有证据均未提供由The Weather Company发布的洛杉矶CLILAX站点2026年10月6日的最高温度，且多数涉及其他地区，无法确认是否达到94-95°F范围。
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
2 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company or any source addressing the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 5, 2026, has been provided. All sources are either about other locations, other dates, or lack the required specificity and authority.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
8 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides the actual maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on Oct 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. The day is still ongoing (current time 2026-10-01T20:01:34Z), and the final value has not been published.
-
Austin Weather on Oct 1, 2026 | Prediction Market Forecast ↗
What will the temperature be in Austin on Oct 1, 2026? Prediction market forecast based on real-money trading. Most likely: 86° or below (58%), 87° to 88° (18%), 89° to 90° (13%).…
-
Austin Daily Temperature High October 1 2026 - Robinhood ↗
What will the highest temperature in Austin be on October 1, 2026? Get paid $1 per contract when your prediction is correct, or $0 if not.…
-
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 1, 2026? — Live Odds ↗
If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 87-88° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No source provides the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. All retrieved documents are either unrelated or do not contain the required authoritative data.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
6 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The day is still in progress as of the current time and none of the retrieved sources provides the authoritative final maximum temperature for Miami on Sep 25, 2026, from The Weather Company.
-
Highest temperature in Miami on September 25? Trading Odds ... ↗
Magic "Highest temperature in Miami on September 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "90-91°F" at 100%, followed by "92-93°…
-
September 2026 Weather History in Miami ↗
This report shows the past weather for Miami, providing a weather history for September 2026. It features all historical weather data series we have available, including the Miami temperature history for September 2026. You can drill down from year to month an…
-
Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026? - Coinbase ↗
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 25, 2026, is between 89-90° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence establishes the actual highest temperature for Los Angeles on September 23, 2026 from an official source. The deadline has passed, but the condition remains unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
8 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No submitted evidence reports the actual maximum temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026; the links are either unrelated news, forecasts, or market descriptions. Therefore the condition is not established either way.
-
Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 22? ↗
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from…
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Atlanta Weather on Sep 22, 2026 | Prediction Market Forecast ↗
What will the temperature be in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026? Prediction market forecast based on real-money trading. Most likely: 89° to 90° (34%), 87° to 88° (32%), 86° or below (20%).…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
11 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
The retrieved sources are forecasts for other locations, generic weather pages, or NWS climate normals, and none establish the Weather Company's official CLILEX precipitation total for September 18, 2026.
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National Weather Service ↗
THE LEXINGTON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 80 96 1953 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 57 39 1937 SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 18 2026.....SUNRISE 723 AM EDT SUNSET 741 PM EDT SEPTEMBER 19 2026.....SUNRISE 724 AM EDT SUNSET 74…
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National Weather Service ↗
THE LEXINGTON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 79 95 1954 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 57 38 1973 SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 18 2026.....SUNRISE 723 AM EDT SUNSET 741 PM EDT SEPTEMBER 19 2026.....SUNRISE 724 AM EDT SUNSET…
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Weather in Lexington - Climate monitor on September 2026 ↗
Weather in Lexington for September 2026. Daily monitoring of air temperature and precipitation, daily and monthly temperature anomalies, temperature records in Lexington.…
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
1 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
unparseable adjudication
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
4 → 98
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No evidence from The Weather Company about the maximum temperature at CLINYC on September 10, 2026, has been provided. All retrieved documents concern other locations or general forecasts.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
high confidence
buy YES
moved
14 → 97
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
evidence led the market
No evidence from The Weather Company (the named authority) appears in the supplied documents. The only Miami-related source [5] is a news article citing 99°F, which is not the required authority and contradicts the range, but absence of the official data leaves the condition unestablished.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
undecided
low confidence
buy YES
moved
7 → 95
evidence disagrees with the market
wrong form of evidence
not the named source
book pulled — not buyable
window unknown
No provided evidence addresses the condition: the sources cover weather in other cities/countries or unrelated topics, and none cite The Weather Company's NYC maximum temperature for September 7, 2026.
No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.
Full evidence and the
contract's rules →
Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided
15 of 57 candidates.